Transparent historical data
What Happens to Dogecoin After a 20% 30-Day Correction?
Dogecoin has recorded 17 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -4.61% and 23.5% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 3-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -9.1% to -6.9% | 2 |
| -6.9% to -4.8% | 3 |
| -4.8% to -2.6% | 3 |
| -2.6% to -0.4% | 2 |
| -0.4% to +1.8% | 1 |
| +1.8% to +4.0% | 3 |
| +4.0% to +6.1% | 0 |
| +6.1% to +8.3% | 2 |
| +8.3% to +10.5% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 17 | -1.76% | -1.07% | 41.2% | 8.31% | -7.92% |
| 3 days | 17 | -2.57% | -0.86% | 41.2% | 10.50% | -9.13% |
| 7 days | 17 | -4.61% | -4.34% | 23.5% | 16.47% | -12.00% |
| 14 days | 17 | -5.42% | -3.76% | 23.5% | 15.49% | -17.35% |
| 30 days | 17 | -11.41% | -7.05% | 17.6% | 13.54% | -19.49% |
| 90 days | 15 | -24.20% | -20.51% | 20.0% | 8.59% | -45.39% |
Historical occurrences
17 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | -20.00 | $0.08 | -4.31% | -9.13% | -10.99% | -6.99% | -11.41% | — |
| 2026-06-21 | -20.71 | $0.08 | -1.76% | -5.78% | -11.03% | -7.22% | -13.79% | — |
| 2026-06-17 | -20.02 | $0.09 | -1.43% | -4.20% | -9.52% | -17.35% | -16.94% | -3.98% |
| 2026-06-05 | -22.96 | $0.09 | -7.92% | -2.57% | -2.83% | -5.69% | -12.31% | -7.66% |
| 2026-03-02 | -20.17 | $0.09 | +1.71% | +7.31% | -2.80% | +6.48% | -0.46% | +8.59% |
| 2026-02-27 | -22.91 | $0.10 | -3.63% | -5.22% | -3.80% | -2.53% | -6.95% | +2.68% |
| 2026-02-02 | -26.27 | $0.10 | +3.30% | -0.65% | -7.02% | -1.77% | -13.52% | +3.55% |
| 2025-12-27 | -21.17 | $0.12 | +1.87% | +0.55% | +16.47% | +15.49% | -1.78% | -24.20% |
| 2025-12-19 | -24.51 | $0.12 | +8.31% | +7.41% | +1.26% | +3.91% | +12.93% | -21.70% |
| 2025-12-16 | -20.36 | $0.13 | +1.52% | -5.93% | +2.09% | -5.42% | +13.54% | -23.98% |
| 2025-12-11 | -21.12 | $0.14 | -2.11% | -3.04% | -12.00% | -10.41% | -1.76% | -33.91% |
| 2025-12-08 | -22.64 | $0.14 | +2.96% | +3.57% | -3.10% | -5.36% | +8.47% | -34.11% |
| 2025-12-01 | -21.54 | $0.15 | -7.33% | +3.83% | -5.30% | -8.23% | -15.79% | -35.24% |
| 2025-11-20 | -22.89 | $0.15 | -3.38% | -9.08% | +0.33% | -1.58% | -14.32% | -34.27% |
| 2025-11-13 | -20.56 | $0.17 | -3.72% | -4.22% | -9.28% | -8.99% | -19.49% | -45.39% |
| 2025-10-31 | -21.63 | $0.18 | +2.04% | +2.10% | -11.60% | -10.36% | -18.73% | -31.28% |
| 2025-10-11 | -21.08 | $0.19 | -4.33% | +10.50% | -4.61% | +2.08% | -7.62% | -26.71% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-12-27: +16.47%
- 2025-12-16: +2.09%
- 2025-12-19: +1.26%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-12-11: -12.00%
- 2025-10-31: -11.60%
- 2026-06-21: -11.03%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 30 day(s) falls to or below -20%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.