Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 20% 30-Day Correction
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 20% 30-day correction, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Dogecoin
17 historical signal(s) detected for Dogecoin; 12 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (5 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-18 | $0.1937 | $0.1848 | -4.61% | 95.39 |
| 2025-10-31 | 2025-11-07 | $0.1827 | $0.1615 | -11.60% | 84.33 |
| 2025-11-13 | 2025-11-20 | $0.1701 | $0.1543 | -9.28% | 76.50 |
| 2025-11-20 | 2025-11-27 | $0.1543 | $0.1548 | +0.33% | 76.75 |
| 2025-12-01 | 2025-12-08 | $0.1462 | $0.1385 | -5.30% | 72.68 |
| 2025-12-08 | 2025-12-15 | $0.1385 | $0.1342 | -3.10% | 70.43 |
| 2025-12-16 | 2025-12-23 | $0.1297 | $0.1324 | +2.09% | 71.90 |
| 2025-12-27 | 2026-01-03 | $0.1220 | $0.1421 | +16.47% | 83.75 |
| 2026-02-02 | 2026-02-09 | $0.1048 | $0.0974 | -7.02% | 77.87 |
| 2026-02-27 | 2026-03-06 | $0.0977 | $0.0940 | -3.80% | 74.91 |
| 2026-06-05 | 2026-06-12 | $0.0885 | $0.0860 | -2.83% | 72.79 |
| 2026-06-17 | 2026-06-24 | $0.0871 | $0.0788 | -9.52% | 65.86 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Dogecoin · Read the full methodology