Transparent historical data
What Happens to Dogecoin After a 10% One-Day Drop?
Dogecoin has recorded 3 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 5.84% and 66.7% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 7-day outcomes
Not enough completed data yet for a distribution chart.
All forward horizons
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Historical occurrences
3 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-06 | -14.81 | $0.09 | +10.88% | +9.86% | +5.84% | +11.74% | +2.91% | +26.84% |
| 2025-11-04 | -10.37 | $0.17 | -2.78% | -3.40% | +8.80% | -9.14% | -9.16% | -37.31% |
| 2025-10-11 | -22.06 | $0.19 | -4.33% | +10.50% | -4.61% | +2.08% | -7.62% | -26.71% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-11-04: +8.80%
- 2026-02-06: +5.84%
- 2025-10-11: -4.61%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-10-11: -4.61%
- 2026-02-06: +5.84%
- 2025-11-04: +8.80%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 1 day(s) falls to or below -10%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.