Transparent historical data
What Happens to Chainlink After a New 30-Day High?
Chainlink has recorded 9 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -2.44% and 44.4% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 3-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -5.6% to -4.3% | 1 |
| -4.3% to -3.0% | 1 |
| -3.0% to -1.7% | 0 |
| -1.7% to -0.5% | 2 |
| -0.5% to +0.8% | 0 |
| +0.8% to +2.1% | 1 |
| +2.1% to +3.4% | 1 |
| +3.4% to +4.7% | 1 |
| +4.7% to +6.0% | 2 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 9 | 0.80% | 0.48% | 55.6% | 9.87% | -6.16% |
| 3 days | 9 | 1.10% | 0.78% | 55.6% | 5.96% | -5.59% |
| 7 days | 9 | -2.44% | 1.48% | 44.4% | 20.38% | -5.02% |
| 14 days | 8 | -3.97% | -0.47% | 25.0% | 34.28% | -17.91% |
| 30 days | 8 | -1.17% | 1.20% | 50.0% | 29.54% | -37.24% |
| 90 days | 4 | -25.55% | -25.72% | 0.0% | -16.24% | -35.52% |
Historical occurrences
9 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | 0.46 | $12.05 | +9.87% | +3.84% | -4.53% | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-14 | 0.71 | $8.88 | +0.96% | +5.68% | +20.38% | +34.28% | +29.54% | — |
| 2026-07-27 | 1.93 | $8.82 | -5.04% | -5.59% | -5.02% | -7.21% | +28.04% | — |
| 2026-07-21 | 0.55 | $8.58 | +0.80% | -1.35% | -2.44% | -4.68% | +22.91% | — |
| 2026-07-15 | 0.53 | $8.34 | +2.35% | -1.06% | +3.74% | +1.22% | +6.48% | — |
| 2026-05-06 | 1.52 | $9.77 | +2.36% | +5.96% | +5.27% | -3.34% | -18.02% | -16.24% |
| 2026-03-15 | 1.23 | $10.28 | -0.35% | +1.10% | -2.73% | -17.91% | -8.82% | -23.56% |
| 2026-03-08 | 0.69 | $10.16 | -6.16% | -3.72% | +1.23% | -1.54% | -13.31% | -27.54% |
| 2026-01-11 | 0.19 | $14.09 | -0.48% | +2.18% | -2.54% | -4.61% | -37.24% | -35.52% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-08-14: +20.38%
- 2026-05-06: +5.27%
- 2026-07-15: +3.74%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-07-27: -5.02%
- 2026-09-06: -4.53%
- 2026-03-15: -2.73%
How this study works
The daily reference price must exceed every earlier price in the prior 30 days; nearby highs are grouped.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.