Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After a New 30-Day High

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after a new 30-day high, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for Chainlink

9 historical signal(s) detected for Chainlink; 8 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (1 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades8
Win rate50.0%
Average return / trade+1.97%
Compounded total return+14.39%
Max drawdown-5.02%
Buy & hold, same period-18.39%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2026-01-11 2026-01-18 $14.0941 $13.7355 -2.54% 97.46
2026-03-08 2026-03-15 $10.1586 $10.2835 +1.23% 98.65
2026-03-15 2026-03-22 $10.2835 $10.0024 -2.73% 95.96
2026-05-06 2026-05-13 $9.7659 $10.2808 +5.27% 101.02
2026-07-15 2026-07-22 $8.3387 $8.6503 +3.74% 104.79
2026-07-27 2026-08-03 $8.8170 $8.3742 -5.02% 99.53
2026-08-14 2026-08-21 $8.8793 $10.6887 +20.38% 119.81
2026-09-06 2026-09-13 $12.0475 $11.5020 -4.53% 114.39

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for Chainlink ยท Read the full methodology