Transparent historical data
What Happens to Cardano After a 3x Volume Spike?
Cardano has recorded 2 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -1.54% and 50.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 90-day outcomes
Not enough completed data yet for a distribution chart.
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 2 | -0.49% | -0.49% | 50.0% | 0.35% | -1.32% |
| 3 days | 2 | 2.69% | 2.69% | 50.0% | 8.73% | -3.35% |
| 7 days | 2 | -1.54% | -1.54% | 50.0% | 8.28% | -11.35% |
| 14 days | 2 | -2.20% | -2.20% | 50.0% | 3.41% | -7.81% |
| 30 days | 1 | 20.91% | 20.91% | 100.0% | 20.91% | 20.91% |
| 90 days | 1 | 41.18% | 41.18% | 100.0% | 41.18% | 41.18% |
Historical occurrences
2 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | 4.03 | $0.23 | -1.32% | -3.35% | -11.35% | -7.81% | — | — |
| 2026-06-06 | 3.94 | $0.16 | +0.35% | +8.73% | +8.28% | +3.41% | +20.91% | +41.18% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-06-06: +8.28%
- 2026-08-22: -11.35%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-08-22: -11.35%
- 2026-06-06: +8.28%
How this study works
Daily volume is compared with the median of the preceding 30 complete observations.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.