Transparent historical data
What Happens to BNB When Fear & Greed Falls Below 10?
BNB has recorded 6 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 0.04% and 50.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Alternative.me Crypto Fear & Greed Index and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 90-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -33.0% to -26.3% | 1 |
| -26.3% to -19.7% | 0 |
| -19.7% to -13.0% | 0 |
| -13.0% to -6.4% | 1 |
| -6.4% to +0.3% | 1 |
| +0.3% to +7.0% | 1 |
| +7.0% to +13.6% | 0 |
| +13.6% to +20.3% | 1 |
| +20.3% to +26.9% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
Historical occurrences
6 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 | 8.00 | $603.90 | -0.39% | -2.93% | +2.05% | -3.34% | -4.52% | +26.91% |
| 2026-03-22 | 10.00 | $624.63 | +0.31% | +2.19% | -2.23% | -4.89% | +0.76% | -7.06% |
| 2026-03-09 | 8.00 | $611.95 | +3.75% | +6.45% | +10.43% | +2.38% | +1.50% | -6.15% |
| 2026-03-02 | 10.00 | $618.69 | +3.03% | +6.40% | -1.09% | +9.22% | -0.41% | +16.26% |
| 2026-02-06 | 9.00 | $606.90 | +7.85% | +5.47% | +1.16% | +0.04% | +2.31% | +6.76% |
| 2025-11-15 | 10.00 | $915.92 | +1.79% | -1.08% | -9.37% | -3.10% | -4.18% | -32.97% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-03-09: +10.43%
- 2026-06-08: +2.05%
- 2026-02-06: +1.16%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-11-15: -9.37%
- 2026-03-22: -2.23%
- 2026-03-02: -1.09%
How this study works
Daily Fear & Greed observations satisfying the inclusive threshold are grouped into episodes, then returns are measured from the target asset's same-date price.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.