Historical rule simulator
Backtest: When Fear & Greed Falls Below 10
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy when fear & greed falls below 10, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for BNB
6 historical signal(s) detected for BNB; 6 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (0 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | 2025-11-22 | $915.9157 | $830.0518 | -9.37% | 90.63 |
| 2026-02-06 | 2026-02-13 | $606.9029 | $613.9634 | +1.16% | 91.68 |
| 2026-03-02 | 2026-03-09 | $618.6937 | $611.9485 | -1.09% | 90.68 |
| 2026-03-09 | 2026-03-16 | $611.9485 | $675.7511 | +10.43% | 100.13 |
| 2026-03-22 | 2026-03-29 | $624.6277 | $610.6947 | -2.23% | 97.90 |
| 2026-06-08 | 2026-06-15 | $603.8984 | $616.2914 | +2.05% | 99.91 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.