Transparent historical data

What Happens to BNB When Bitcoin Drops 10% in a Day?

BNB has recorded 1 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 1.16% and 100.0% of outcomes finished higher.

Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →

Outcome summary

Horizon3 days

Sample1

Median return+5.47%

Average return+5.47%

Positive outcomes100.0%

Best / worst+5.47% / +5.47%

Distribution of 3-day outcomes

Not enough completed data yet for a distribution chart.

All forward horizons

Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.

Horizon	Sample	Median	Average	Positive	Best	Worst
1 days	1	7.85%	7.85%	100.0%	7.85%	7.85%
3 days	1	5.47%	5.47%	100.0%	5.47%	5.47%
7 days	1	1.16%	1.16%	100.0%	1.16%	1.16%
14 days	1	0.04%	0.04%	100.0%	0.04%	0.04%
30 days	1	2.31%	2.31%	100.0%	2.31%	2.31%
90 days	1	6.76%	6.76%	100.0%	6.76%	6.76%

Historical occurrences

1 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.

Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.

Date	Trigger	Price	1d	3d	7d	14d	30d	90d
2026-02-06	-14.07	$606.90	+7.85%	+5.47%	+1.16%	+0.04%	+2.31%	+6.76%

Best 7-day cases

2026-02-06: +1.16%

Worst 7-day cases

2026-02-06: +1.16%

How this study works

An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 1 day(s) falls to or below -10%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.

Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.

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