Transparent historical data
What Happens to BNB After a 20% 30-Day Correction?
BNB has recorded 6 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 2.16% and 50.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 1-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -12.8% to -10.7% | 1 |
| -10.7% to -8.6% | 0 |
| -8.6% to -6.5% | 0 |
| -6.5% to -4.4% | 0 |
| -4.4% to -2.3% | 1 |
| -2.3% to -0.2% | 2 |
| -0.2% to +1.9% | 1 |
| +1.9% to +4.0% | 0 |
| +4.0% to +6.2% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 6 | -0.68% | -1.65% | 33.3% | 6.15% | -12.81% |
| 3 days | 6 | 1.56% | 0.81% | 50.0% | 9.00% | -7.08% |
| 7 days | 6 | 2.16% | 0.74% | 50.0% | 8.61% | -12.59% |
| 14 days | 6 | -2.49% | -2.97% | 50.0% | 6.45% | -13.21% |
| 30 days | 6 | -2.60% | -2.52% | 50.0% | 4.42% | -9.94% |
| 90 days | 5 | -25.11% | -23.27% | 0.0% | -9.42% | -33.49% |
Historical occurrences
6 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | -22.34 | $558.62 | -2.28% | -0.09% | +4.82% | +1.47% | +2.29% | — |
| 2026-02-05 | -23.52 | $696.06 | -12.81% | -7.08% | -12.59% | -13.21% | -9.94% | -9.42% |
| 2025-12-02 | -24.51 | $826.18 | +6.15% | +9.00% | +8.61% | +3.90% | +4.42% | -25.11% |
| 2025-11-22 | -22.58 | $830.05 | +0.39% | +4.15% | +6.92% | +6.45% | +3.42% | -26.86% |
| 2025-11-12 | -26.51 | $957.72 | -0.45% | -4.36% | -2.82% | -9.96% | -7.49% | -33.49% |
| 2025-11-06 | -21.85 | $958.15 | -0.90% | +3.21% | -0.50% | -6.45% | -7.78% | -21.46% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-12-02: +8.61%
- 2025-11-22: +6.92%
- 2026-06-30: +4.82%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-02-05: -12.59%
- 2025-11-12: -2.82%
- 2025-11-06: -0.50%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 30 day(s) falls to or below -20%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.