Transparent historical data
What Happens to BNB After a 15% Seven-Day Drop?
BNB has recorded 3 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 2.20% and 66.7% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 90-day outcomes
Not enough completed data yet for a distribution chart.
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 3 | 2.25% | -0.03% | 66.7% | 5.16% | -7.50% |
| 3 days | 3 | 3.27% | -1.32% | 66.7% | 5.80% | -13.02% |
| 7 days | 3 | 2.20% | -3.13% | 66.7% | 6.10% | -17.70% |
| 14 days | 3 | -0.68% | -5.41% | 33.3% | 2.32% | -17.86% |
| 30 days | 3 | -3.90% | -5.27% | 33.3% | 1.96% | -13.88% |
| 90 days | 3 | -17.27% | -3.06% | 33.3% | 25.62% | -17.53% |
Historical occurrences
3 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | -20.16 | $574.29 | +5.16% | +3.27% | +6.10% | +2.32% | +1.96% | +25.62% |
| 2026-02-04 | -16.13 | $752.54 | -7.50% | -13.02% | -17.70% | -17.86% | -13.88% | -17.27% |
| 2025-11-05 | -15.06 | $937.06 | +2.25% | +5.80% | +2.20% | -0.68% | -3.90% | -17.53% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-06-07: +6.10%
- 2025-11-05: +2.20%
- 2026-02-04: -17.70%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-02-04: -17.70%
- 2025-11-05: +2.20%
- 2026-06-07: +6.10%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 7 day(s) falls to or below -15%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.