Transparent historical data
What Happens to BNB After a 10% Seven-Day Drop?
BNB has recorded 6 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 1.22% and 50.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 7-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -17.0% to -14.5% | 1 |
| -14.5% to -12.0% | 0 |
| -12.0% to -9.5% | 0 |
| -9.5% to -7.0% | 1 |
| -7.0% to -4.5% | 0 |
| -4.5% to -2.0% | 0 |
| -2.0% to +0.5% | 1 |
| +0.5% to +3.0% | 1 |
| +3.0% to +5.5% | 2 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 6 | -1.22% | -1.55% | 33.3% | 1.14% | -5.60% |
| 3 days | 6 | -3.46% | -1.46% | 33.3% | 5.17% | -6.14% |
| 7 days | 6 | 1.22% | -2.03% | 50.0% | 5.51% | -17.04% |
| 14 days | 6 | -3.63% | -4.42% | 33.3% | 6.88% | -18.88% |
| 30 days | 6 | -11.69% | -9.49% | 33.3% | 3.01% | -21.32% |
| 90 days | 6 | -20.02% | -12.75% | 16.7% | 26.77% | -24.81% |
Historical occurrences
6 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | -10.97 | $571.97 | +0.40% | +5.17% | +5.51% | +1.50% | +3.01% | +26.77% |
| 2026-02-01 | -11.93 | $779.69 | -2.78% | -3.48% | -17.04% | -18.88% | -18.25% | -21.07% |
| 2025-11-23 | -10.62 | $833.25 | +1.14% | +3.49% | +4.80% | +6.88% | +2.97% | -24.81% |
| 2025-11-04 | -12.79 | $992.66 | -5.60% | -4.34% | -0.08% | -8.73% | -7.21% | -23.64% |
| 2025-10-20 | -14.82 | $1110.16 | -0.82% | -3.43% | +2.52% | -2.40% | -16.17% | -14.76% |
| 2025-10-16 | -10.98 | $1164.17 | -1.61% | -6.14% | -7.91% | -4.86% | -21.32% | -18.97% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-06-06: +5.51%
- 2025-11-23: +4.80%
- 2025-10-20: +2.52%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-02-01: -17.04%
- 2025-10-16: -7.91%
- 2025-11-04: -0.08%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 7 day(s) falls to or below -10%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.