Transparent historical data
What Happens to Bitcoin Cash When Fear & Greed Falls Below 10?
Bitcoin Cash has recorded 6 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 4.75% and 83.3% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Alternative.me Crypto Fear & Greed Index and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 7-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -8.5% to -6.3% | 1 |
| -6.3% to -4.2% | 0 |
| -4.2% to -2.0% | 0 |
| -2.0% to +0.2% | 0 |
| +0.2% to +2.4% | 1 |
| +2.4% to +4.6% | 1 |
| +4.6% to +6.7% | 1 |
| +6.7% to +8.9% | 0 |
| +8.9% to +11.1% | 2 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
Historical occurrences
6 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 | 8.00 | $230.15 | -9.04% | -15.53% | -8.51% | -15.36% | +4.03% | +11.35% |
| 2026-03-22 | 10.00 | $462.96 | +1.66% | +3.76% | +3.84% | -4.56% | -4.15% | -57.17% |
| 2026-03-09 | 8.00 | $447.96 | +0.21% | +1.67% | +5.65% | +5.06% | -0.40% | -51.49% |
| 2026-03-02 | 10.00 | $445.77 | +0.55% | +5.09% | +0.49% | +6.17% | +4.52% | -31.94% |
| 2026-02-06 | 9.00 | $458.44 | +13.54% | +15.07% | +10.08% | +22.05% | -0.66% | +1.63% |
| 2025-11-15 | 10.00 | $480.28 | +4.47% | +2.08% | +11.10% | +14.37% | +16.31% | +5.08% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-11-15: +11.10%
- 2026-02-06: +10.08%
- 2026-03-09: +5.65%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-06-08: -8.51%
- 2026-03-02: +0.49%
- 2026-03-22: +3.84%
How this study works
Daily Fear & Greed observations satisfying the inclusive threshold are grouped into episodes, then returns are measured from the target asset's same-date price.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.