Historical rule simulator
Backtest: When Fear & Greed Falls Below 10
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy when fear & greed falls below 10, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Bitcoin Cash
6 historical signal(s) detected for Bitcoin Cash; 6 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (0 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | 2025-11-22 | $480.2803 | $533.5993 | +11.10% | 111.10 |
| 2026-02-06 | 2026-02-13 | $458.4375 | $504.6694 | +10.08% | 122.31 |
| 2026-03-02 | 2026-03-09 | $445.7691 | $447.9648 | +0.49% | 122.91 |
| 2026-03-09 | 2026-03-16 | $447.9648 | $473.2722 | +5.65% | 129.85 |
| 2026-03-22 | 2026-03-29 | $462.9627 | $480.7434 | +3.84% | 134.84 |
| 2026-06-08 | 2026-06-15 | $230.1538 | $210.5622 | -8.51% | 123.36 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Bitcoin Cash · Read the full methodology