Transparent historical data
What Happens to Bitcoin Cash After Negative Funding?
Bitcoin Cash has recorded 36 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -1.61% and 47.2% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Binance USDⓈ-M Futures and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 3-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -13.5% to -11.1% | 1 |
| -11.1% to -8.6% | 2 |
| -8.6% to -6.1% | 0 |
| -6.1% to -3.7% | 5 |
| -3.7% to -1.2% | 7 |
| -1.2% to +1.3% | 11 |
| +1.3% to +3.7% | 5 |
| +3.7% to +6.2% | 3 |
| +6.2% to +8.7% | 3 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 37 | -0.21% | -0.63% | 45.9% | 8.39% | -13.87% |
| 3 days | 37 | -0.67% | -0.71% | 43.2% | 8.68% | -13.54% |
| 7 days | 36 | -1.61% | -0.92% | 47.2% | 31.99% | -13.73% |
| 14 days | 34 | -3.07% | -2.02% | 38.2% | 28.11% | -23.34% |
| 30 days | 33 | -9.65% | -8.24% | 21.2% | 31.00% | -46.81% |
| 90 days | 28 | -31.54% | -29.13% | 17.9% | 27.26% | -59.47% |
Historical occurrences
37 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | -0.01 | $251.87 | -11.13% | -10.13% | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-08 | -0.00 | $258.88 | -0.21% | -13.54% | -13.73% | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-05 | -0.01 | $248.12 | +3.29% | +4.33% | -8.06% | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-18 | -0.00 | $205.18 | -0.82% | +8.68% | +31.99% | +20.39% | — | — |
| 2026-08-09 | -0.00 | $216.01 | -0.68% | -1.09% | -5.78% | +28.11% | +19.84% | — |
| 2026-08-05 | -0.00 | $213.21 | +0.58% | +0.68% | +0.21% | -4.55% | +20.35% | — |
| 2026-07-23 | -0.00 | $219.92 | -3.68% | -4.67% | -3.98% | -2.49% | +31.00% | — |
| 2026-07-10 | -0.00 | $237.70 | +3.09% | +1.02% | -6.70% | -10.88% | -9.13% | — |
| 2026-07-05 | -0.01 | $236.06 | +3.37% | +1.43% | +3.34% | -6.77% | -9.73% | — |
| 2026-06-10 | -0.00 | $203.42 | -4.43% | -0.67% | +5.17% | -4.41% | +16.86% | +27.26% |
| 2026-05-06 | -0.00 | $461.27 | +1.00% | -2.31% | -4.69% | -19.74% | -46.81% | -53.81% |
| 2026-05-03 | -0.00 | $446.04 | -0.49% | +3.42% | +0.92% | -6.74% | -34.22% | -52.96% |
| 2026-04-30 | -0.00 | $447.83 | -1.31% | -0.40% | +4.03% | -3.07% | -32.53% | -52.19% |
| 2026-04-26 | -0.00 | $453.56 | +0.36% | +0.09% | -1.66% | -0.75% | -22.40% | -53.54% |
| 2026-04-23 | -0.00 | $460.54 | +0.05% | -1.52% | -2.76% | +1.16% | -21.58% | -51.42% |
| 2026-04-18 | -0.00 | $453.75 | -2.11% | -2.20% | +0.61% | -0.64% | -10.57% | -51.12% |
| 2026-04-15 | -0.01 | $436.82 | +1.00% | +3.88% | +2.66% | +3.93% | -0.44% | -45.91% |
| 2026-04-11 | -0.00 | $443.94 | -1.26% | -1.18% | +2.21% | +2.83% | +4.46% | -46.46% |
| 2026-04-02 | -0.00 | $455.09 | -2.14% | -2.90% | -2.96% | -3.06% | -0.93% | -56.12% |
| 2026-03-24 | -0.01 | $480.65 | -0.06% | -3.20% | -4.29% | -9.29% | -4.18% | -59.47% |
| 2026-03-22 | -0.01 | $462.96 | +1.66% | +3.76% | +3.84% | -4.56% | -4.15% | -57.17% |
| 2026-03-17 | -0.00 | $479.12 | -0.91% | -4.08% | +0.32% | -3.99% | -7.92% | -56.05% |
| 2026-03-13 | -0.00 | $459.55 | +0.55% | +2.99% | +0.00% | +1.24% | -4.61% | -57.70% |
| 2026-02-15 | -0.00 | $562.66 | -1.49% | +0.20% | +0.21% | -18.02% | -14.85% | -24.13% |
| 2026-02-11 | -0.00 | $524.22 | -1.44% | +7.59% | +7.55% | -7.25% | -12.34% | -14.10% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-08-18: +31.99%
- 2026-02-11: +7.55%
- 2026-06-10: +5.17%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-09-08: -13.73%
- 2025-10-16: -9.42%
- 2025-09-20: -8.79%
How this study works
Each Binance funding rate is normalized to an eight-hour equivalent. An episode begins when that rate is below 0%. Consecutive qualifying funding intervals are grouped, and returns begin from the exact UTC date of the first qualifying interval.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.