Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After Negative Funding
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after negative funding, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Bitcoin Cash
37 historical signal(s) detected for Bitcoin Cash; 22 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (15 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-20 | 2025-09-27 | $600.8175 | $548.0226 | -8.79% | 91.21 |
| 2025-10-02 | 2025-10-09 | $592.6974 | $583.4470 | -1.56% | 89.79 |
| 2025-10-12 | 2025-10-19 | $499.5693 | $468.5359 | -6.21% | 84.21 |
| 2025-11-24 | 2025-12-01 | $539.1411 | $541.6478 | +0.46% | 84.60 |
| 2026-01-04 | 2026-01-11 | $654.8411 | $641.8532 | -1.98% | 82.93 |
| 2026-01-11 | 2026-01-18 | $641.8532 | $593.8955 | -7.47% | 76.73 |
| 2026-01-23 | 2026-01-30 | $597.9918 | $555.0155 | -7.19% | 71.21 |
| 2026-02-01 | 2026-02-08 | $508.0329 | $525.9742 | +3.53% | 73.73 |
| 2026-02-09 | 2026-02-16 | $527.5180 | $554.2883 | +5.07% | 77.47 |
| 2026-03-13 | 2026-03-20 | $459.5472 | $459.5624 | +0.00% | 77.47 |
| 2026-03-22 | 2026-03-29 | $462.9627 | $480.7434 | +3.84% | 80.45 |
| 2026-04-02 | 2026-04-09 | $455.0898 | $441.6307 | -2.96% | 78.07 |
| 2026-04-11 | 2026-04-18 | $443.9442 | $453.7479 | +2.21% | 79.79 |
| 2026-04-18 | 2026-04-25 | $453.7479 | $456.5010 | +0.61% | 80.28 |
| 2026-04-26 | 2026-05-03 | $453.5556 | $446.0359 | -1.66% | 78.95 |
| 2026-05-03 | 2026-05-10 | $446.0359 | $450.1498 | +0.92% | 79.68 |
| 2026-06-10 | 2026-06-17 | $203.4155 | $213.9333 | +5.17% | 83.80 |
| 2026-07-05 | 2026-07-12 | $236.0590 | $243.9403 | +3.34% | 86.59 |
| 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-30 | $219.9245 | $211.1714 | -3.98% | 83.15 |
| 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-12 | $213.2108 | $213.6587 | +0.21% | 83.32 |
| 2026-08-18 | 2026-08-25 | $205.1789 | $270.8067 | +31.99% | 109.97 |
| 2026-09-05 | 2026-09-12 | $248.1215 | $228.1197 | -8.06% | 101.11 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Bitcoin Cash · Read the full methodology