Transparent historical data
What Happens to Bitcoin Cash After Funding Rises to +0.01%?
Bitcoin Cash has recorded 36 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 1.31% and 58.3% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Binance USDⓈ-M Futures and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 14-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -25.1% to -19.9% | 3 |
| -19.9% to -14.7% | 3 |
| -14.7% to -9.5% | 2 |
| -9.5% to -4.3% | 4 |
| -4.3% to +0.9% | 10 |
| +0.9% to +6.1% | 5 |
| +6.1% to +11.3% | 4 |
| +11.3% to +16.5% | 0 |
| +16.5% to +21.7% | 4 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 36 | 1.07% | 0.53% | 61.1% | 7.28% | -9.53% |
| 3 days | 36 | 0.81% | 0.95% | 55.6% | 41.58% | -21.94% |
| 7 days | 36 | 1.31% | 1.41% | 58.3% | 35.97% | -24.32% |
| 14 days | 35 | -3.07% | -1.66% | 40.0% | 21.73% | -25.12% |
| 30 days | 33 | -5.60% | -8.18% | 21.2% | 28.61% | -56.13% |
| 90 days | 26 | -22.26% | -22.55% | 30.8% | 16.07% | -57.17% |
Historical occurrences
36 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | 0.01 | $256.29 | +1.74% | +0.79% | -11.68% | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-01 | 0.01 | $247.01 | -0.42% | +3.88% | +4.80% | -9.59% | — | — |
| 2026-08-19 | 0.01 | $203.50 | +4.80% | +41.58% | +30.65% | +20.87% | — | — |
| 2026-08-16 | 0.01 | $203.52 | +0.14% | -0.01% | +35.97% | +21.46% | +9.74% | — |
| 2026-08-04 | 0.01 | $213.08 | +0.06% | -0.24% | +0.01% | -3.71% | +14.76% | — |
| 2026-07-30 | 0.01 | $211.17 | +2.66% | -1.54% | +1.55% | +0.62% | +17.43% | — |
| 2026-07-21 | 0.01 | $219.82 | +1.79% | -3.63% | -3.71% | -3.07% | -2.98% | — |
| 2026-07-10 | 0.01 | $237.70 | +3.09% | +1.02% | -6.70% | -10.88% | -9.13% | — |
| 2026-07-05 | 0.01 | $236.06 | +3.37% | +1.43% | +3.34% | -6.77% | -9.73% | — |
| 2026-07-01 | 0.01 | $199.69 | +5.13% | +14.81% | +19.90% | +18.48% | +8.56% | — |
| 2026-06-08 | 0.01 | $230.15 | -9.04% | -15.53% | -8.51% | -15.36% | +4.03% | +11.35% |
| 2026-06-03 | 0.01 | $268.78 | -9.53% | -21.94% | -24.32% | -20.41% | -18.12% | -8.10% |
| 2026-05-11 | 0.01 | $463.73 | -2.90% | -6.40% | -12.49% | -25.12% | -56.13% | -53.42% |
| 2026-05-05 | 0.01 | $444.15 | +3.85% | +1.44% | +1.38% | -14.81% | -45.25% | -52.16% |
| 2026-04-29 | 0.01 | $453.96 | -1.35% | -0.69% | +1.61% | -3.16% | -33.95% | -53.38% |
| 2026-04-22 | 0.01 | $448.42 | +2.70% | +1.80% | +1.24% | +2.87% | -15.17% | -50.98% |
| 2026-04-16 | 0.01 | $441.18 | +3.14% | +0.68% | +4.39% | +1.51% | -3.24% | -46.37% |
| 2026-04-01 | 0.01 | $465.92 | -2.33% | -4.77% | -4.24% | -6.25% | -5.14% | -56.90% |
| 2026-03-22 | 0.01 | $462.96 | +1.66% | +3.76% | +3.84% | -4.56% | -4.15% | -57.17% |
| 2026-03-17 | 0.01 | $479.12 | -0.91% | -4.08% | +0.32% | -3.99% | -7.92% | -56.05% |
| 2026-03-05 | 0.01 | $468.46 | -0.92% | -2.78% | -2.78% | -1.84% | -5.29% | -42.62% |
| 2026-02-14 | 0.01 | $563.99 | -0.24% | +0.92% | -0.27% | -17.57% | -16.08% | -22.89% |
| 2026-02-07 | 0.01 | $520.51 | +1.05% | +2.46% | +8.35% | +8.06% | -13.94% | -13.44% |
| 2026-02-04 | 0.01 | $526.51 | +1.10% | -1.14% | -0.44% | +7.08% | -11.84% | -15.64% |
| 2026-01-31 | 0.01 | $553.51 | -8.22% | -2.43% | -5.96% | +1.89% | -19.47% | -20.15% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-08-16: +35.97%
- 2026-08-19: +30.65%
- 2026-07-01: +19.90%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-06-03: -24.32%
- 2026-05-11: -12.49%
- 2026-09-06: -11.68%
How this study works
Each Binance funding rate is normalized to an eight-hour equivalent. An episode begins when that rate is at or above 0.01%. Consecutive qualifying funding intervals are grouped, and returns begin from the exact UTC date of the first qualifying interval.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.