Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After Funding Rises to +0.01%
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after funding rises to +0.01%, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Bitcoin Cash
36 historical signal(s) detected for Bitcoin Cash; 24 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (12 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-11 | 2025-09-18 | $580.8988 | $616.5735 | +6.14% | 106.14 |
| 2025-09-26 | 2025-10-03 | $538.3299 | $594.5633 | +10.45% | 117.23 |
| 2025-10-07 | 2025-10-14 | $599.5641 | $546.8481 | -8.79% | 106.92 |
| 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-22 | $538.5099 | $481.2427 | -10.63% | 95.55 |
| 2025-11-20 | 2025-11-27 | $485.7023 | $543.8084 | +11.96% | 106.98 |
| 2025-12-27 | 2026-01-03 | $593.5910 | $610.3941 | +2.83% | 110.01 |
| 2026-01-03 | 2026-01-10 | $610.3941 | $632.7785 | +3.67% | 114.04 |
| 2026-01-15 | 2026-01-22 | $597.4670 | $584.2144 | -2.22% | 111.52 |
| 2026-01-31 | 2026-02-07 | $553.5130 | $520.5123 | -5.96% | 104.87 |
| 2026-02-07 | 2026-02-14 | $520.5123 | $563.9888 | +8.35% | 113.63 |
| 2026-02-14 | 2026-02-21 | $563.9888 | $562.4408 | -0.27% | 113.31 |
| 2026-03-05 | 2026-03-12 | $468.4553 | $455.4472 | -2.78% | 110.17 |
| 2026-03-17 | 2026-03-24 | $479.1178 | $480.6499 | +0.32% | 110.52 |
| 2026-04-01 | 2026-04-08 | $465.9229 | $446.1549 | -4.24% | 105.83 |
| 2026-04-16 | 2026-04-23 | $441.1818 | $460.5408 | +4.39% | 110.47 |
| 2026-04-29 | 2026-05-06 | $453.9627 | $461.2695 | +1.61% | 112.25 |
| 2026-05-11 | 2026-05-18 | $463.7269 | $405.7882 | -12.49% | 98.23 |
| 2026-06-03 | 2026-06-10 | $268.7844 | $203.4155 | -24.32% | 74.34 |
| 2026-07-01 | 2026-07-08 | $199.6943 | $239.4349 | +19.90% | 89.13 |
| 2026-07-10 | 2026-07-17 | $237.7036 | $221.7825 | -6.70% | 83.16 |
| 2026-07-21 | 2026-07-28 | $219.8240 | $211.6583 | -3.71% | 80.07 |
| 2026-07-30 | 2026-08-06 | $211.1714 | $214.4533 | +1.55% | 81.32 |
| 2026-08-16 | 2026-08-23 | $203.5196 | $276.7345 | +35.97% | 110.57 |
| 2026-09-01 | 2026-09-08 | $247.0126 | $258.8765 | +4.80% | 115.88 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Bitcoin Cash · Read the full methodology