Transparent historical data
What Happens to Bitcoin Cash After 3 Consecutive Red Days?
Bitcoin Cash has recorded 33 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -4.13% and 33.3% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 90-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -59.1% to -48.9% | 6 |
| -48.9% to -38.7% | 0 |
| -38.7% to -28.4% | 1 |
| -28.4% to -18.2% | 8 |
| -18.2% to -8.0% | 4 |
| -8.0% to +2.2% | 1 |
| +2.2% to +12.4% | 2 |
| +12.4% to +22.7% | 1 |
| +22.7% to +32.9% | 2 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 34 | 0.17% | -0.35% | 55.9% | 11.75% | -11.13% |
| 3 days | 34 | -0.23% | -0.89% | 47.1% | 9.83% | -21.94% |
| 7 days | 33 | -4.13% | -2.08% | 33.3% | 40.78% | -24.32% |
| 14 days | 33 | -3.10% | -4.07% | 42.4% | 21.17% | -33.72% |
| 30 days | 31 | -4.31% | -7.02% | 29.0% | 30.09% | -53.45% |
| 90 days | 25 | -20.30% | -19.28% | 20.0% | 32.87% | -59.09% |
Historical occurrences
34 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | -2.50 | $251.87 | -11.13% | -10.13% | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-31 | -1.54 | $243.38 | +1.49% | +0.47% | +7.13% | -9.21% | — | — |
| 2026-08-25 | -1.21 | $270.81 | -1.82% | -0.44% | -8.79% | -4.41% | — | — |
| 2026-08-15 | -0.88 | $204.65 | -0.55% | +0.26% | +40.78% | +21.17% | +7.97% | — |
| 2026-07-25 | -0.53 | $210.72 | -0.50% | +0.45% | -0.43% | +1.87% | +30.09% | — |
| 2026-07-18 | -0.90 | $219.79 | +0.13% | +0.02% | -4.13% | -4.54% | -7.27% | — |
| 2026-07-14 | -1.61 | $236.27 | +0.14% | -6.13% | -6.96% | -10.42% | -10.07% | — |
| 2026-07-09 | -1.77 | $235.20 | +1.06% | +3.71% | -5.16% | -6.50% | -8.74% | — |
| 2026-06-19 | -6.04 | $199.51 | -0.61% | -2.35% | -3.34% | +10.31% | +10.31% | — |
| 2026-06-11 | -4.43 | $194.41 | +5.52% | +7.30% | +9.22% | -2.09% | +26.05% | +32.87% |
| 2026-06-03 | -8.39 | $268.78 | -9.53% | -21.94% | -24.32% | -20.41% | -18.12% | -8.10% |
| 2026-05-29 | -10.46 | $299.86 | +0.77% | +0.91% | -18.18% | -31.58% | -34.88% | -10.37% |
| 2026-05-25 | -2.40 | $347.22 | +1.37% | -3.55% | -12.86% | -33.72% | -44.00% | -20.30% |
| 2026-05-18 | -2.45 | $405.79 | -6.76% | -7.99% | -14.43% | -25.43% | -47.28% | -49.85% |
| 2026-05-14 | -1.26 | $434.06 | +0.19% | -4.17% | -13.99% | -22.85% | -53.45% | -50.78% |
| 2026-04-20 | -1.77 | $436.34 | +1.70% | +5.55% | +4.31% | +1.72% | -15.15% | -49.56% |
| 2026-04-04 | -0.37 | $443.68 | -0.41% | -1.73% | +0.06% | +2.27% | +0.04% | -50.40% |
| 2026-03-27 | -2.55 | $465.25 | +1.57% | -2.83% | -4.28% | -4.69% | -2.51% | -59.09% |
| 2026-03-20 | -0.06 | $459.56 | +3.16% | +2.41% | +1.24% | -3.10% | -3.35% | -53.80% |
| 2026-03-01 | -0.78 | $461.25 | -3.36% | -2.75% | -1.26% | +1.77% | -0.27% | -34.49% |
| 2026-02-25 | -2.46 | $486.20 | +1.69% | -4.39% | -7.74% | -7.46% | -4.31% | -27.61% |
| 2026-02-13 | -2.32 | $504.67 | +11.75% | +9.83% | +10.87% | -4.71% | -6.99% | -13.99% |
| 2026-01-31 | -0.27 | $553.51 | -8.22% | -2.43% | -5.96% | +1.89% | -19.47% | -20.15% |
| 2026-01-26 | -3.56 | $571.83 | +1.04% | +3.19% | -9.55% | -7.75% | -14.97% | -20.68% |
| 2026-01-20 | -0.79 | $583.28 | -1.66% | +2.52% | -0.95% | -7.41% | -4.27% | -25.19% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-08-15: +40.78%
- 2026-02-13: +10.87%
- 2025-12-16: +10.02%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-06-03: -24.32%
- 2026-05-29: -18.18%
- 2026-05-18: -14.43%
How this study works
An occurrence is recorded once when the daily reference price has declined for 3 consecutive UTC days. Longer uninterrupted streaks do not create duplicate occurrences.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.