Transparent historical data
What Happens to Bitcoin Cash After a 2x Volume Spike?
Bitcoin Cash has recorded 18 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -5.35% and 44.4% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 90-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -59.2% to -49.9% | 3 |
| -49.9% to -40.6% | 1 |
| -40.6% to -31.3% | 0 |
| -31.3% to -22.0% | 1 |
| -22.0% to -12.7% | 1 |
| -12.7% to -3.4% | 2 |
| -3.4% to +5.9% | 3 |
| +5.9% to +15.2% | 0 |
| +15.2% to +24.5% | 4 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 19 | 0.77% | 0.23% | 57.9% | 4.65% | -3.60% |
| 3 days | 19 | -0.01% | 1.17% | 47.4% | 29.75% | -12.69% |
| 7 days | 18 | -5.35% | 0.01% | 44.4% | 35.97% | -20.05% |
| 14 days | 18 | -3.96% | -2.06% | 38.9% | 30.59% | -31.58% |
| 30 days | 17 | -3.68% | -5.82% | 41.2% | 16.55% | -54.97% |
| 90 days | 15 | -10.37% | -12.16% | 46.7% | 24.55% | -59.19% |
Historical occurrences
19 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | 2.21 | $223.84 | +1.91% | -1.28% | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 | 4.66 | $213.28 | +4.55% | +29.75% | +26.01% | +14.65% | — | — |
| 2026-08-16 | 2.77 | $203.52 | +0.14% | -0.01% | +35.97% | +21.46% | +9.74% | — |
| 2026-08-14 | 2.02 | $206.47 | -0.88% | -1.29% | +8.00% | +30.59% | +9.64% | — |
| 2026-06-09 | 4.49 | $209.35 | -2.83% | -2.00% | +7.22% | -5.77% | +12.35% | +24.55% |
| 2026-06-04 | 4.96 | $243.17 | +0.90% | -10.64% | -20.05% | -12.68% | -5.72% | +1.15% |
| 2026-05-29 | 3.01 | $299.86 | +0.77% | +0.91% | -18.18% | -31.58% | -34.88% | -10.37% |
| 2026-05-19 | 5.11 | $378.36 | -2.15% | +0.54% | -6.97% | -22.46% | -43.88% | -46.13% |
| 2026-05-07 | 2.69 | $465.90 | -3.29% | -3.38% | -6.83% | -19.86% | -54.97% | -54.24% |
| 2026-03-30 | 2.09 | $452.09 | +1.75% | +0.66% | -4.58% | -6.57% | +0.41% | -56.81% |
| 2026-03-28 | 2.15 | $472.55 | +1.73% | -2.65% | -6.11% | -6.05% | -3.68% | -59.19% |
| 2026-02-07 | 2.48 | $520.51 | +1.05% | +2.46% | +8.35% | +8.06% | -13.94% | -13.44% |
| 2026-01-16 | 2.20 | $590.68 | +1.49% | -0.46% | +1.24% | -6.04% | -4.74% | -25.31% |
| 2025-11-22 | 2.45 | $533.60 | +4.32% | +2.88% | +2.94% | +4.91% | +10.66% | +4.85% |
| 2025-11-08 | 2.08 | $513.37 | -3.60% | +0.76% | -6.45% | +3.94% | +16.55% | -10.70% |
| 2025-10-29 | 2.23 | $557.83 | -0.31% | -4.00% | -13.80% | -9.42% | -4.54% | +3.57% |
| 2025-10-24 | 2.16 | $480.71 | +4.65% | +16.27% | +12.54% | -1.71% | +15.80% | +21.53% |
| 2025-10-15 | 2.02 | $538.51 | -2.95% | -12.69% | -10.63% | +3.59% | -5.56% | +15.25% |
| 2025-10-11 | 2.51 | $514.13 | -2.83% | +6.36% | -8.55% | -2.16% | -2.12% | +22.90% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-08-16: +35.97%
- 2026-08-20: +26.01%
- 2025-10-24: +12.54%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-06-04: -20.05%
- 2026-05-29: -18.18%
- 2025-10-29: -13.80%
How this study works
Daily volume is compared with the median of the preceding 30 complete observations.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.