Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 2x Volume Spike
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 2x volume spike, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Bitcoin Cash
19 historical signal(s) detected for Bitcoin Cash; 13 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (6 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
1 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-18 | $514.1344 | $470.1608 | -8.55% | 91.45 |
| 2025-10-24 | 2025-10-31 | $480.7075 | $540.9877 | +12.54% | 102.91 |
| 2025-11-08 | 2025-11-15 | $513.3722 | $480.2803 | -6.45% | 96.28 |
| 2025-11-22 | 2025-11-29 | $533.5993 | $549.3021 | +2.94% | 99.11 |
| 2026-01-16 | 2026-01-23 | $590.6788 | $597.9918 | +1.24% | 100.34 |
| 2026-02-07 | 2026-02-14 | $520.5123 | $563.9888 | +8.35% | 108.72 |
| 2026-03-28 | 2026-04-04 | $472.5507 | $443.6803 | -6.11% | 102.08 |
| 2026-05-07 | 2026-05-14 | $465.8996 | $434.0643 | -6.83% | 95.10 |
| 2026-05-19 | 2026-05-26 | $378.3588 | $351.9784 | -6.97% | 88.47 |
| 2026-05-29 | 2026-06-05 | $299.8617 | $245.3537 | -18.18% | 72.39 |
| 2026-06-09 | 2026-06-16 | $209.3475 | $224.4576 | +7.22% | 77.62 |
| 2026-08-14 | 2026-08-21 | $206.4683 | $222.9847 | +8.00% | 83.82 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Bitcoin Cash · Read the full methodology