Transparent historical data
What Happens to Bitcoin Cash After a 1.5x Volume Spike?
Bitcoin Cash has recorded 28 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -4.31% and 35.7% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 90-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -59.2% to -49.8% | 2 |
| -49.8% to -40.3% | 1 |
| -40.3% to -30.9% | 3 |
| -30.9% to -21.5% | 4 |
| -21.5% to -12.1% | 3 |
| -12.1% to -2.6% | 2 |
| -2.6% to +6.8% | 5 |
| +6.8% to +16.2% | 2 |
| +16.2% to +25.6% | 5 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 29 | -2.07% | -1.12% | 34.5% | 13.54% | -8.13% |
| 3 days | 29 | -1.28% | -1.53% | 34.5% | 16.27% | -19.64% |
| 7 days | 28 | -4.31% | -3.68% | 35.7% | 15.92% | -23.94% |
| 14 days | 28 | -4.03% | -5.06% | 35.7% | 27.08% | -38.92% |
| 30 days | 28 | -2.90% | -6.17% | 35.7% | 18.19% | -46.81% |
| 90 days | 27 | -10.70% | -10.15% | 44.4% | 25.63% | -59.19% |
Historical occurrences
29 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | 2.21 | $223.84 | +1.91% | -1.28% | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-11 | 1.67 | $213.10 | +0.26% | -3.11% | -3.72% | +27.08% | +18.19% | — |
| 2026-06-09 | 4.49 | $209.35 | -2.83% | -2.00% | +7.22% | -5.77% | +12.35% | +24.55% |
| 2026-06-04 | 4.96 | $243.17 | +0.90% | -10.64% | -20.05% | -12.68% | -5.72% | +1.15% |
| 2026-06-01 | 1.57 | $302.59 | -3.04% | -19.64% | -23.94% | -30.41% | -34.00% | -18.30% |
| 2026-05-29 | 3.01 | $299.86 | +0.77% | +0.91% | -18.18% | -31.58% | -34.88% | -10.37% |
| 2026-05-24 | 1.56 | $355.76 | -2.40% | -3.37% | -14.72% | -38.92% | -44.55% | -19.01% |
| 2026-05-19 | 5.11 | $378.36 | -2.15% | +0.54% | -6.97% | -22.46% | -43.88% | -46.13% |
| 2026-05-06 | 1.73 | $461.27 | +1.00% | -2.31% | -4.69% | -19.74% | -46.81% | -53.81% |
| 2026-03-28 | 2.15 | $472.55 | +1.73% | -2.65% | -6.11% | -6.05% | -3.68% | -59.19% |
| 2026-02-23 | 1.87 | $542.56 | -8.13% | -8.87% | -17.84% | -17.43% | -11.46% | -34.43% |
| 2026-02-06 | 1.82 | $458.44 | +13.54% | +15.07% | +10.08% | +22.05% | -0.66% | +1.63% |
| 2026-01-16 | 2.20 | $590.68 | +1.49% | -0.46% | +1.24% | -6.04% | -4.74% | -25.31% |
| 2026-01-12 | 1.60 | $647.56 | -4.16% | -7.74% | -9.20% | -11.69% | -19.05% | -32.31% |
| 2026-01-04 | 1.60 | $654.84 | -2.07% | -2.77% | -1.98% | -9.31% | -17.53% | -32.25% |
| 2025-12-30 | 1.55 | $598.53 | -0.62% | -0.88% | +7.85% | +3.69% | -1.42% | -24.47% |
| 2025-12-20 | 1.53 | $624.66 | -5.18% | -5.61% | -4.97% | -2.28% | -5.88% | -26.43% |
| 2025-12-04 | 1.88 | $591.23 | -2.77% | -1.25% | -3.08% | -7.63% | +3.24% | -24.13% |
| 2025-11-29 | 1.64 | $549.30 | -5.03% | -4.83% | +1.92% | +5.84% | +13.15% | -12.46% |
| 2025-11-22 | 2.45 | $533.60 | +4.32% | +2.88% | +2.94% | +4.91% | +10.66% | +4.85% |
| 2025-11-19 | 1.81 | $522.81 | -7.10% | +2.06% | +0.85% | +4.39% | +8.17% | +8.87% |
| 2025-11-14 | 1.51 | $508.56 | -5.56% | -5.03% | -5.53% | +4.72% | +14.09% | +1.60% |
| 2025-11-08 | 2.08 | $513.37 | -3.60% | +0.76% | -6.45% | +3.94% | +16.55% | -10.70% |
| 2025-10-27 | 1.89 | $558.91 | -0.52% | -0.50% | -3.93% | -9.97% | -5.67% | +6.09% |
| 2025-10-24 | 2.16 | $480.71 | +4.65% | +16.27% | +12.54% | -1.71% | +15.80% | +21.53% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-10-22: +15.92%
- 2025-10-24: +12.54%
- 2026-02-06: +10.08%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-06-01: -23.94%
- 2026-06-04: -20.05%
- 2026-05-29: -18.18%
How this study works
Daily volume is compared with the median of the preceding 30 complete observations.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.