Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 1.5x Volume Spike
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 1.5x volume spike, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Bitcoin Cash
29 historical signal(s) detected for Bitcoin Cash; 18 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (11 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
1 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-18 | $514.1344 | $470.1608 | -8.55% | 91.45 |
| 2025-10-18 | 2025-10-25 | $470.1608 | $503.0414 | +6.99% | 97.84 |
| 2025-10-27 | 2025-11-03 | $558.9128 | $536.9693 | -3.93% | 94.00 |
| 2025-11-08 | 2025-11-15 | $513.3722 | $480.2803 | -6.45% | 87.94 |
| 2025-11-19 | 2025-11-26 | $522.8133 | $527.2463 | +0.85% | 88.69 |
| 2025-11-29 | 2025-12-06 | $549.3021 | $559.8216 | +1.92% | 90.39 |
| 2025-12-20 | 2025-12-27 | $624.6620 | $593.5910 | -4.97% | 85.89 |
| 2025-12-30 | 2026-01-06 | $598.5278 | $645.4854 | +7.85% | 92.63 |
| 2026-01-12 | 2026-01-19 | $647.5566 | $587.9506 | -9.20% | 84.10 |
| 2026-02-06 | 2026-02-13 | $458.4375 | $504.6694 | +10.08% | 92.58 |
| 2026-02-23 | 2026-03-02 | $542.5587 | $445.7691 | -17.84% | 76.07 |
| 2026-03-28 | 2026-04-04 | $472.5507 | $443.6803 | -6.11% | 71.42 |
| 2026-05-06 | 2026-05-13 | $461.2695 | $439.6200 | -4.69% | 68.07 |
| 2026-05-19 | 2026-05-26 | $378.3588 | $351.9784 | -6.97% | 63.32 |
| 2026-05-29 | 2026-06-05 | $299.8617 | $245.3537 | -18.18% | 51.81 |
| 2026-06-09 | 2026-06-16 | $209.3475 | $224.4576 | +7.22% | 55.55 |
| 2026-08-11 | 2026-08-18 | $213.0985 | $205.1789 | -3.72% | 53.49 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Bitcoin Cash · Read the full methodology