Transparent historical data
What Happens to Zcash After Funding Falls to -0.01%?
Zcash has recorded 35 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -0.88% and 45.7% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Binance USDⓈ-M Futures and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 3-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -41.7% to -26.4% | 2 |
| -26.4% to -11.1% | 4 |
| -11.1% to +4.1% | 16 |
| +4.1% to +19.4% | 9 |
| +19.4% to +34.7% | 4 |
| +34.7% to +49.9% | 0 |
| +49.9% to +65.2% | 0 |
| +65.2% to +80.5% | 0 |
| +80.5% to +95.7% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 36 | 2.94% | 2.38% | 58.3% | 27.84% | -26.05% |
| 3 days | 36 | 0.83% | 3.82% | 52.8% | 95.74% | -41.67% |
| 7 days | 35 | -0.88% | 5.55% | 45.7% | 169.96% | -34.17% |
| 14 days | 34 | 8.55% | 19.90% | 55.9% | 325.65% | -49.69% |
| 30 days | 34 | 13.70% | 46.23% | 55.9% | 430.39% | -40.31% |
| 90 days | 34 | 55.11% | 79.66% | 67.6% | 777.40% | -61.69% |
Historical occurrences
36 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | -0.02 | $1079.81 | +7.84% | -1.56% | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-08 | -0.01 | $1139.14 | +3.38% | -5.21% | +2.16% | — | — | — |
| 2026-06-16 | -0.01 | $518.50 | -2.65% | -12.14% | -14.81% | -21.58% | +9.97% | +105.01% |
| 2026-06-06 | -0.11 | $389.99 | -7.14% | +17.59% | +5.57% | +22.24% | +18.44% | +144.28% |
| 2026-06-04 | -0.04 | $620.93 | -26.05% | -41.67% | -34.17% | -23.20% | -25.81% | +33.65% |
| 2026-05-31 | -0.02 | $528.20 | +7.80% | +15.23% | -31.44% | -20.41% | -23.02% | +51.72% |
| 2026-05-24 | -0.01 | $630.48 | +5.13% | -9.63% | -16.22% | -42.56% | -29.94% | +16.33% |
| 2026-05-20 | -0.02 | $573.60 | +17.30% | +1.57% | -0.67% | +6.11% | -20.58% | -10.40% |
| 2026-05-03 | -0.02 | $387.72 | +6.50% | +33.31% | +53.38% | +31.85% | +40.22% | +17.93% |
| 2026-04-22 | -0.01 | $316.98 | -0.12% | +13.44% | +5.98% | +63.06% | +109.35% | +71.14% |
| 2026-04-18 | -0.01 | $329.04 | -1.76% | -5.14% | +9.28% | +16.98% | +62.85% | +59.12% |
| 2026-04-04 | -0.01 | $234.24 | +6.92% | +7.64% | +60.15% | +40.47% | +76.28% | +85.36% |
| 2026-04-02 | -0.04 | $251.94 | -4.37% | -0.59% | +28.52% | +37.47% | +52.78% | +58.50% |
| 2026-03-26 | -0.01 | $231.43 | -4.30% | -7.90% | +8.86% | +39.91% | +55.37% | +79.62% |
| 2026-03-23 | -0.01 | $217.74 | +4.86% | +6.29% | -1.42% | +13.33% | +45.58% | +116.26% |
| 2026-03-07 | -0.02 | $209.56 | -5.94% | +1.84% | -0.88% | +12.09% | +17.75% | +119.11% |
| 2026-02-25 | -0.01 | $242.32 | +0.49% | -9.80% | -8.97% | -8.88% | -8.60% | +168.91% |
| 2026-02-18 | -0.02 | $295.84 | -11.06% | -12.78% | -18.09% | -25.44% | -20.73% | +90.34% |
| 2026-02-15 | -0.02 | $322.99 | -7.98% | -8.41% | -19.90% | -31.79% | -14.59% | +59.48% |
| 2026-02-12 | -0.02 | $240.21 | -3.01% | +34.46% | +9.54% | +1.37% | -13.52% | +137.65% |
| 2026-01-28 | -0.01 | $397.88 | -6.95% | -14.53% | -31.95% | -41.23% | -40.10% | -10.70% |
| 2026-01-15 | -0.06 | $446.69 | -7.47% | -10.49% | -20.52% | -17.12% | -40.31% | -20.50% |
| 2025-12-29 | -0.01 | $529.44 | +2.04% | -3.46% | -4.95% | -28.24% | -24.85% | -59.74% |
| 2025-12-27 | -0.03 | $447.77 | +15.21% | +20.65% | +9.11% | -6.78% | -26.75% | -50.54% |
| 2025-12-11 | -0.07 | $404.01 | +11.64% | +9.63% | -6.78% | +10.98% | +3.32% | -45.35% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-09-29: +169.96%
- 2026-04-04: +60.15%
- 2026-05-03: +53.38%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-06-04: -34.17%
- 2026-01-28: -31.95%
- 2026-05-31: -31.44%
How this study works
Each Binance funding rate is normalized to an eight-hour equivalent. An episode begins when that rate is at or below -0.01%. Consecutive qualifying funding intervals are grouped, and returns begin from the exact UTC date of the first qualifying interval.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.