Transparent historical data
What Happens to XRP After 5 Consecutive Red Days?
XRP has recorded 9 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -2.36% and 22.2% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 14-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -18.5% to -11.7% | 1 |
| -11.7% to -4.9% | 3 |
| -4.9% to +1.8% | 2 |
| +1.8% to +8.6% | 1 |
| +8.6% to +15.4% | 0 |
| +15.4% to +22.2% | 1 |
| +22.2% to +28.9% | 0 |
| +28.9% to +35.7% | 0 |
| +35.7% to +42.5% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 9 | 0.46% | -0.31% | 55.6% | 1.80% | -6.03% |
| 3 days | 9 | -0.91% | -1.25% | 22.2% | 1.75% | -5.12% |
| 7 days | 9 | -2.36% | -4.15% | 22.2% | 2.62% | -12.59% |
| 14 days | 9 | -1.88% | 1.93% | 33.3% | 42.50% | -18.48% |
| 30 days | 9 | -14.13% | -4.48% | 33.3% | 39.40% | -24.15% |
| 90 days | 8 | -24.27% | -20.17% | 12.5% | 15.65% | -36.44% |
Historical occurrences
9 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | -1.28 | $1.02 | +1.80% | -0.91% | -2.15% | +42.50% | +39.40% | — |
| 2026-06-05 | -2.68 | $1.17 | -6.03% | -1.10% | -2.27% | -1.88% | -0.96% | +15.65% |
| 2026-05-20 | -2.19 | $1.36 | +0.46% | -1.94% | -2.36% | -10.93% | -15.68% | -26.22% |
| 2026-03-22 | -2.14 | $1.41 | -0.99% | +0.73% | -5.57% | -6.76% | +0.86% | -19.66% |
| 2026-02-02 | -3.36 | $1.60 | +1.62% | -5.12% | -9.91% | -6.67% | -14.13% | -12.84% |
| 2026-01-19 | -4.82 | $1.96 | +1.44% | -0.36% | -6.09% | -18.48% | -24.15% | -26.91% |
| 2025-12-26 | -1.57 | $1.83 | +0.56% | +1.75% | +2.62% | +16.02% | +6.44% | -22.32% |
| 2025-11-16 | -0.60 | $2.23 | -0.69% | -0.63% | -12.59% | -1.26% | -14.90% | -36.44% |
| 2025-09-23 | -3.99 | $2.85 | -0.95% | -3.64% | +0.96% | +4.82% | -17.15% | -32.64% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-12-26: +2.62%
- 2025-09-23: +0.96%
- 2026-08-08: -2.15%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-11-16: -12.59%
- 2026-02-02: -9.91%
- 2026-01-19: -6.09%
How this study works
An occurrence is recorded once when the daily reference price has declined for 5 consecutive UTC days. Longer uninterrupted streaks do not create duplicate occurrences.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.