Transparent historical data

What Happens to XRP After a 20% Seven-Day Drop?

XRP has recorded 2 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -5.97% and 0.0% of outcomes finished higher.

Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →

Outcome summary

Horizon30 days

Sample2

Median return-5.03%

Average return-5.03%

Positive outcomes0.0%

Best / worst-0.40% / -9.65%

Distribution of 30-day outcomes

Not enough completed data yet for a distribution chart.

All forward horizons

Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.

Horizon	Sample	Median	Average	Positive	Best	Worst
1 days	2	-9.74%	-9.74%	50.0%	0.58%	-20.06%
3 days	2	2.06%	2.06%	50.0%	10.01%	-5.89%
7 days	2	-5.97%	-5.97%	0.0%	-3.13%	-8.81%
14 days	2	0.39%	0.39%	50.0%	5.83%	-5.06%
30 days	2	-5.03%	-5.03%	0.0%	-0.40%	-9.65%
90 days	2	-8.59%	-8.59%	0.0%	-6.88%	-10.31%

Historical occurrences

2 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.

Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.

Date	Trigger	Price	1d	3d	7d	14d	30d	90d
2026-02-05	-21.14	$1.52	-20.06%	-5.89%	-8.81%	-5.06%	-9.65%	-6.88%
2025-10-11	-22.09	$2.37	+0.58%	+10.01%	-3.13%	+5.83%	-0.40%	-10.31%

Best 7-day cases

2025-10-11: -3.13%
2026-02-05: -8.81%

Worst 7-day cases

2026-02-05: -8.81%
2025-10-11: -3.13%

How this study works

An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 7 day(s) falls to or below -20%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.

Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.

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