Transparent historical data
What Happens to XRP After a 15% 30-Day Correction?
XRP has recorded 13 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -2.27% and 30.8% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 90-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -37.9% to -31.9% | 2 |
| -31.9% to -26.0% | 5 |
| -26.0% to -20.0% | 1 |
| -20.0% to -14.1% | 1 |
| -14.1% to -8.1% | 2 |
| -8.1% to -2.2% | 0 |
| -2.2% to +3.8% | 0 |
| +3.8% to +9.7% | 0 |
| +9.7% to +15.6% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 13 | 0.72% | 0.31% | 61.5% | 6.20% | -6.03% |
| 3 days | 13 | -0.97% | -0.98% | 38.5% | 10.01% | -11.81% |
| 7 days | 13 | -2.27% | -1.06% | 30.8% | 27.33% | -9.91% |
| 14 days | 13 | -4.17% | -0.79% | 38.5% | 16.31% | -10.96% |
| 30 days | 13 | -0.96% | -3.59% | 38.5% | 14.05% | -19.01% |
| 90 days | 12 | -28.74% | -22.57% | 8.3% | 15.65% | -37.88% |
Historical occurrences
13 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | -15.68 | $1.15 | -0.92% | -1.89% | -9.01% | -5.13% | -4.67% | — |
| 2026-06-05 | -17.39 | $1.17 | -6.03% | -1.10% | -2.27% | -1.88% | -0.96% | +15.65% |
| 2026-02-02 | -20.37 | $1.60 | +1.62% | -5.12% | -9.91% | -6.67% | -14.13% | -12.84% |
| 2025-12-30 | -16.05 | $1.85 | +1.42% | +1.71% | +27.33% | +11.46% | +4.11% | -28.17% |
| 2025-12-25 | -16.38 | $1.86 | -1.57% | +0.62% | -1.12% | +16.31% | +3.60% | -23.53% |
| 2025-12-19 | -18.42 | $1.81 | +5.51% | +6.31% | +1.34% | +4.01% | +14.05% | -18.89% |
| 2025-12-13 | -15.81 | $2.01 | +0.72% | -5.52% | -5.04% | -8.27% | +3.41% | -30.36% |
| 2025-12-11 | -19.12 | $2.04 | -0.45% | -0.97% | -8.87% | -8.88% | +2.76% | -31.86% |
| 2025-12-02 | -19.01 | $2.03 | +6.20% | +3.36% | +2.17% | -6.46% | -9.27% | -32.85% |
| 2025-11-26 | -16.87 | $2.20 | +1.10% | -0.88% | -2.04% | -4.17% | -16.69% | -37.88% |
| 2025-11-20 | -15.58 | $2.11 | -5.06% | -7.43% | +5.58% | +4.49% | -9.42% | -29.32% |
| 2025-11-02 | -17.58 | $2.50 | +0.88% | -11.81% | -8.78% | -10.96% | -19.01% | -30.44% |
| 2025-10-11 | -20.55 | $2.37 | +0.58% | +10.01% | -3.13% | +5.83% | -0.40% | -10.31% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-12-30: +27.33%
- 2025-11-20: +5.58%
- 2025-12-02: +2.17%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-02-02: -9.91%
- 2026-06-19: -9.01%
- 2025-12-11: -8.87%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 30 day(s) falls to or below -15%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.