Transparent historical data
What Happens to XRP After a 10% One-Day Rise?
XRP has recorded 3 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -3.04% and 33.3% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 90-day outcomes
Not enough completed data yet for a distribution chart.
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 3 | -2.17% | 3.43% | 33.3% | 14.75% | -2.28% |
| 3 days | 3 | -1.38% | 7.13% | 33.3% | 32.45% | -9.69% |
| 7 days | 3 | -3.04% | 4.41% | 33.3% | 28.71% | -12.46% |
| 14 days | 3 | -1.60% | 1.72% | 33.3% | 22.19% | -15.43% |
| 30 days | 2 | -21.41% | -21.41% | 0.0% | -7.31% | -35.51% |
| 90 days | 2 | -23.97% | -23.97% | 0.0% | -4.77% | -43.18% |
Historical occurrences
3 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | 10.39 | $1.11 | +14.75% | +32.45% | +28.71% | +22.19% | — | — |
| 2026-02-07 | 20.47 | $1.46 | -2.28% | -1.38% | -3.04% | -1.60% | -7.31% | -4.77% |
| 2026-01-06 | 12.34 | $2.35 | -2.17% | -9.69% | -12.46% | -15.43% | -35.51% | -43.18% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-08-20: +28.71%
- 2026-02-07: -3.04%
- 2026-01-06: -12.46%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-01-06: -12.46%
- 2026-02-07: -3.04%
- 2026-08-20: +28.71%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 1 day(s) rises to or above 10%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.