Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After 3 Consecutive Red Days
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after 3 consecutive red days, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for TRON
19 historical signal(s) detected for TRON; 18 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (1 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
1 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-16 | 2025-09-23 | $0.3447 | $0.3401 | -1.35% | 98.65 |
| 2025-09-24 | 2025-10-01 | $0.3361 | $0.3335 | -0.76% | 97.90 |
| 2025-10-12 | 2025-10-19 | $0.3146 | $0.3131 | -0.47% | 97.43 |
| 2025-10-26 | 2025-11-02 | $0.2971 | $0.2974 | +0.10% | 97.53 |
| 2025-11-15 | 2025-11-22 | $0.2925 | $0.2764 | -5.51% | 92.15 |
| 2025-12-25 | 2026-01-01 | $0.2802 | $0.2844 | +1.50% | 93.53 |
| 2026-01-21 | 2026-01-28 | $0.2969 | $0.2943 | -0.90% | 92.69 |
| 2026-02-01 | 2026-02-08 | $0.2862 | $0.2781 | -2.85% | 90.05 |
| 2026-03-02 | 2026-03-09 | $0.2809 | $0.2894 | +3.05% | 92.80 |
| 2026-03-25 | 2026-04-01 | $0.3061 | $0.3132 | +2.29% | 94.93 |
| 2026-04-25 | 2026-05-02 | $0.3234 | $0.3269 | +1.09% | 95.97 |
| 2026-05-30 | 2026-06-06 | $0.3440 | $0.3201 | -6.94% | 89.31 |
| 2026-06-11 | 2026-06-18 | $0.3209 | $0.3215 | +0.19% | 89.48 |
| 2026-06-26 | 2026-07-03 | $0.3235 | $0.3173 | -1.93% | 87.75 |
| 2026-07-18 | 2026-07-25 | $0.3226 | $0.3306 | +2.50% | 89.94 |
| 2026-08-16 | 2026-08-23 | $0.3310 | $0.3443 | +4.02% | 93.56 |
| 2026-09-01 | 2026-09-08 | $0.3324 | $0.3345 | +0.64% | 94.16 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.