Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After a 2x Volume Spike

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after a 2x volume spike, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for Sui

7 historical signal(s) detected for Sui; 7 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (0 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades7
Win rate57.1%
Average return / trade-1.25%
Compounded total return-14.02%
Max drawdown-35.57%
Buy & hold, same period-68.92%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2025-10-11 2025-10-18 $2.6108 $2.4397 -6.55% 93.45
2026-02-10 2026-02-17 $0.9638 $1.0236 +6.20% 99.24
2026-05-11 2026-05-18 $1.3310 $1.0438 -21.58% 77.82
2026-05-22 2026-05-29 $1.1218 $0.9288 -17.21% 64.43
2026-06-26 2026-07-03 $0.6832 $0.7344 +7.49% 69.26
2026-08-20 2026-08-27 $0.7056 $0.7674 +8.75% 75.32
2026-08-31 2026-09-07 $0.7109 $0.8116 +14.15% 85.98

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for Sui ยท Read the full methodology