Transparent historical data
What Happens to Sui After a 20% Seven-Day Drop?
Sui has recorded 9 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -2.12% and 33.3% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 7-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -18.6% to -15.5% | 1 |
| -15.5% to -12.4% | 1 |
| -12.4% to -9.3% | 1 |
| -9.3% to -6.1% | 1 |
| -6.1% to -3.0% | 0 |
| -3.0% to +0.1% | 2 |
| +0.1% to +3.2% | 0 |
| +3.2% to +6.4% | 1 |
| +6.4% to +9.5% | 2 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 9 | -3.24% | -1.96% | 33.3% | 2.31% | -6.20% |
| 3 days | 9 | 1.62% | 1.93% | 55.6% | 14.63% | -6.71% |
| 7 days | 9 | -2.12% | -3.47% | 33.3% | 9.48% | -18.62% |
| 14 days | 9 | -9.88% | -8.54% | 22.2% | 11.86% | -24.25% |
| 30 days | 9 | -17.97% | -16.41% | 22.2% | 7.58% | -35.11% |
| 90 days | 9 | -30.34% | -28.29% | 11.1% | 11.45% | -45.59% |
Historical occurrences
9 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | -22.29 | $0.70 | +2.10% | +7.41% | +6.81% | +1.89% | +7.58% | +11.45% |
| 2026-05-18 | -21.58 | $1.04 | +1.87% | +3.27% | -1.24% | -14.30% | -23.75% | -35.15% |
| 2026-02-01 | -23.13 | $1.17 | -3.83% | -3.32% | -12.42% | -9.88% | -19.44% | -21.47% |
| 2026-01-21 | -21.21 | $1.49 | +2.31% | +1.62% | -2.12% | -24.25% | -35.11% | -36.73% |
| 2025-11-22 | -20.17 | $1.39 | -3.24% | +9.83% | +9.48% | +11.86% | +4.01% | -30.30% |
| 2025-11-17 | -21.62 | $1.68 | -3.74% | -4.47% | -18.62% | -10.60% | -9.98% | -37.18% |
| 2025-11-04 | -20.72 | $2.07 | -4.40% | -4.91% | +4.60% | -21.87% | -17.97% | -45.59% |
| 2025-10-16 | -24.18 | $2.68 | -6.20% | -6.71% | -11.16% | -6.36% | -35.06% | -29.33% |
| 2025-10-11 | -27.13 | $2.61 | -2.55% | +14.63% | -6.55% | -3.35% | -17.97% | -30.34% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-11-22: +9.48%
- 2026-06-06: +6.81%
- 2025-11-04: +4.60%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-11-17: -18.62%
- 2026-02-01: -12.42%
- 2025-10-16: -11.16%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 7 day(s) falls to or below -20%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.