Transparent historical data
What Happens to Solana After 5 Consecutive Red Days?
Solana has recorded 7 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 5.12% and 57.1% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 7-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -16.1% to -12.0% | 2 |
| -12.0% to -7.8% | 0 |
| -7.8% to -3.6% | 0 |
| -3.6% to +0.5% | 1 |
| +0.5% to +4.7% | 0 |
| +4.7% to +8.9% | 2 |
| +8.9% to +13.1% | 0 |
| +13.1% to +17.2% | 0 |
| +17.2% to +21.4% | 2 |
All forward horizons
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Historical occurrences
7 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | -0.47 | $67.63 | +6.18% | +5.38% | +19.20% | +15.32% | +10.12% | — |
| 2026-06-05 | -3.82 | $68.81 | -7.52% | -3.47% | -2.90% | +1.22% | +18.74% | +45.89% |
| 2026-05-29 | -0.35 | $82.04 | -0.08% | +0.36% | -16.13% | -18.56% | -14.19% | +24.38% |
| 2026-02-13 | -1.17 | $78.63 | +7.41% | +9.74% | +5.12% | +9.47% | +12.20% | +15.88% |
| 2026-02-02 | -4.37 | $100.88 | +3.48% | -8.75% | -13.53% | -14.47% | -13.71% | -16.47% |
| 2025-12-02 | -5.34 | $126.67 | +9.47% | +9.74% | +5.17% | +0.82% | -1.70% | -33.89% |
| 2025-09-26 | -8.61 | $193.41 | +5.90% | +8.96% | +21.39% | +14.24% | +0.27% | -36.68% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-09-26: +21.39%
- 2026-06-26: +19.20%
- 2025-12-02: +5.17%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-05-29: -16.13%
- 2026-02-02: -13.53%
- 2026-06-05: -2.90%
How this study works
An occurrence is recorded once when the daily reference price has declined for 5 consecutive UTC days. Longer uninterrupted streaks do not create duplicate occurrences.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.