Transparent historical data
What Happens to Solana After a 30% 30-Day Correction?
Solana has recorded 8 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 4.26% and 62.5% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 90-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -43.7% to -32.2% | 5 |
| -32.2% to -20.7% | 0 |
| -20.7% to -9.2% | 0 |
| -9.2% to +2.3% | 2 |
| +2.3% to +13.8% | 0 |
| +13.8% to +25.3% | 0 |
| +25.3% to +36.8% | 0 |
| +36.8% to +48.3% | 0 |
| +48.3% to +59.8% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 8 | 2.66% | 0.60% | 62.5% | 9.47% | -14.83% |
| 3 days | 8 | 2.50% | 2.39% | 62.5% | 9.74% | -4.90% |
| 7 days | 8 | 4.26% | 2.50% | 62.5% | 13.15% | -13.58% |
| 14 days | 8 | 0.04% | -1.47% | 50.0% | 7.22% | -11.19% |
| 30 days | 8 | -5.23% | -3.17% | 12.5% | 20.13% | -13.61% |
| 90 days | 8 | -33.13% | -16.08% | 12.5% | 59.84% | -43.66% |
Historical occurrences
8 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | -32.66 | $64.92 | -2.68% | +2.85% | +13.15% | +7.22% | +20.13% | +59.84% |
| 2026-02-27 | -32.33 | $86.08 | -4.69% | -2.72% | +3.34% | +0.97% | -4.61% | -4.35% |
| 2026-02-05 | -33.29 | $92.06 | -14.83% | -4.90% | -13.58% | -11.19% | -7.96% | -6.25% |
| 2025-12-02 | -32.01 | $126.67 | +9.47% | +9.74% | +5.17% | +0.82% | -1.70% | -33.89% |
| 2025-11-26 | -30.54 | $138.93 | +2.94% | -1.10% | -0.19% | -0.75% | -13.61% | -43.66% |
| 2025-11-23 | -33.36 | $127.55 | +2.37% | +8.92% | +6.64% | +3.69% | -1.35% | -33.52% |
| 2025-11-18 | -30.29 | $130.81 | +7.50% | +2.14% | +5.77% | -3.16% | -5.84% | -34.04% |
| 2025-11-05 | -32.08 | $155.20 | +4.68% | +4.18% | -0.35% | -9.39% | -10.43% | -32.74% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-06-10: +13.15%
- 2025-11-23: +6.64%
- 2025-11-18: +5.77%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-02-05: -13.58%
- 2025-11-05: -0.35%
- 2025-11-26: -0.19%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 30 day(s) falls to or below -30%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.