Transparent historical data
What Happens to Solana After a 20% 30-Day Correction?
Solana has recorded 8 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -1.00% and 50.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 7-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -15.3% to -12.1% | 2 |
| -12.1% to -8.8% | 1 |
| -8.8% to -5.6% | 0 |
| -5.6% to -2.3% | 1 |
| -2.3% to +0.9% | 0 |
| +0.9% to +4.1% | 2 |
| +4.1% to +7.4% | 1 |
| +7.4% to +10.6% | 0 |
| +10.6% to +13.9% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 8 | -0.69% | -0.21% | 37.5% | 10.80% | -7.52% |
| 3 days | 8 | -5.00% | -3.31% | 37.5% | 13.82% | -16.70% |
| 7 days | 8 | -1.00% | -2.12% | 50.0% | 13.85% | -15.31% |
| 14 days | 8 | -5.13% | -5.81% | 37.5% | 14.48% | -25.25% |
| 30 days | 8 | -12.23% | -9.15% | 25.0% | 18.74% | -32.01% |
| 90 days | 7 | -23.66% | -19.27% | 14.3% | 45.89% | -43.87% |
Historical occurrences
8 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | -20.04 | $67.95 | -0.47% | +3.61% | +13.85% | +14.48% | +8.77% | — |
| 2026-06-05 | -20.27 | $68.81 | -7.52% | -3.47% | -2.90% | +1.22% | +18.74% | +45.89% |
| 2026-02-02 | -23.76 | $100.88 | +3.48% | -8.75% | -13.53% | -14.47% | -13.71% | -16.47% |
| 2025-11-12 | -21.58 | $154.66 | -0.90% | -10.13% | -9.08% | -10.17% | -11.76% | -43.87% |
| 2025-11-04 | -27.25 | $165.89 | -6.44% | -6.53% | +0.90% | -21.15% | -12.69% | -39.19% |
| 2025-11-02 | -20.64 | $186.32 | +0.73% | -16.70% | -15.31% | -25.25% | -32.01% | -36.95% |
| 2025-10-17 | -22.05 | $184.68 | -1.37% | +1.69% | +3.65% | -0.10% | -24.59% | -20.67% |
| 2025-10-12 | -22.17 | $177.98 | +10.80% | +13.82% | +5.43% | +8.96% | -5.96% | -23.66% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-06-25: +13.85%
- 2025-10-12: +5.43%
- 2025-10-17: +3.65%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-11-02: -15.31%
- 2026-02-02: -13.53%
- 2025-11-12: -9.08%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 30 day(s) falls to or below -20%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.