Transparent historical data
What Happens to Litecoin After a 5% One-Day Rise?
Litecoin has recorded 11 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 0.07% and 54.5% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 30-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -23.5% to -20.8% | 1 |
| -20.8% to -18.1% | 1 |
| -18.1% to -15.4% | 1 |
| -15.4% to -12.6% | 1 |
| -12.6% to -9.9% | 0 |
| -9.9% to -7.2% | 0 |
| -7.2% to -4.5% | 1 |
| -4.5% to -1.8% | 2 |
| -1.8% to +0.9% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 11 | 0.67% | -1.05% | 63.6% | 5.00% | -23.08% |
| 3 days | 11 | -2.80% | -3.01% | 27.3% | 12.23% | -21.63% |
| 7 days | 11 | 0.07% | -2.28% | 54.5% | 8.00% | -27.15% |
| 14 days | 10 | -3.90% | -6.58% | 40.0% | 6.20% | -25.30% |
| 30 days | 8 | -10.04% | -10.99% | 12.5% | 0.94% | -23.50% |
| 90 days | 8 | -32.93% | -26.30% | 12.5% | 2.96% | -50.39% |
Historical occurrences
11 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | 7.74 | $54.69 | +0.48% | -0.72% | -1.89% | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-22 | 11.15 | $53.13 | -1.22% | -2.80% | -7.18% | -4.47% | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 | 5.44 | $46.76 | +2.23% | +12.23% | +8.00% | +6.20% | — | — |
| 2026-02-26 | 10.90 | $56.75 | -1.92% | -3.94% | +0.07% | -3.33% | -5.44% | -8.53% |
| 2026-02-07 | 7.90 | $54.81 | +0.67% | -0.57% | +0.42% | +0.75% | -3.93% | +2.96% |
| 2025-12-03 | 6.83 | $82.85 | +3.69% | -2.99% | +3.83% | -4.59% | -3.56% | -34.13% |
| 2025-11-08 | 17.75 | $102.40 | +5.00% | +1.86% | -4.66% | -19.35% | -20.53% | -50.39% |
| 2025-11-02 | 6.29 | $101.37 | -1.83% | -15.82% | +6.07% | +0.17% | -23.50% | -35.51% |
| 2025-10-13 | 5.64 | $98.71 | +0.82% | -3.30% | -5.46% | +1.27% | +0.94% | -17.85% |
| 2025-10-10 | 6.22 | $125.96 | -23.08% | -21.63% | -27.15% | -25.30% | -14.63% | -35.21% |
| 2025-10-02 | 7.89 | $115.29 | +3.65% | +4.52% | +2.86% | -17.21% | -17.28% | -31.72% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-08-20: +8.00%
- 2025-11-02: +6.07%
- 2025-12-03: +3.83%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-10-10: -27.15%
- 2026-08-22: -7.18%
- 2025-10-13: -5.46%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 1 day(s) rises to or above 5%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.