Transparent historical data
What Happens to Litecoin After a 15% 30-Day Correction?
Litecoin has recorded 8 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -6.95% and 25.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 3-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -11.7% to -9.5% | 1 |
| -9.5% to -7.3% | 2 |
| -7.3% to -5.2% | 1 |
| -5.2% to -3.0% | 0 |
| -3.0% to -0.9% | 0 |
| -0.9% to +1.3% | 1 |
| +1.3% to +3.4% | 1 |
| +3.4% to +5.6% | 1 |
| +5.6% to +7.8% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 8 | -0.44% | 0.65% | 50.0% | 6.83% | -5.04% |
| 3 days | 8 | -3.12% | -2.47% | 37.5% | 7.76% | -11.66% |
| 7 days | 8 | -6.95% | -5.00% | 25.0% | 8.19% | -23.32% |
| 14 days | 8 | -3.26% | -4.48% | 12.5% | 2.36% | -19.80% |
| 30 days | 8 | -4.46% | -4.06% | 25.0% | 13.72% | -17.72% |
| 90 days | 8 | -16.33% | -15.37% | 25.0% | 8.95% | -34.12% |
Historical occurrences
8 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | -19.14 | $45.58 | -5.04% | -6.08% | -6.91% | -3.91% | -1.68% | +8.95% |
| 2026-06-03 | -15.14 | $46.87 | +0.45% | -7.66% | -8.27% | -2.61% | -7.23% | +3.52% |
| 2026-02-01 | -25.63 | $59.43 | -1.51% | -0.16% | -7.15% | -5.84% | -8.17% | -6.80% |
| 2026-01-30 | -15.83 | $66.26 | -1.32% | -11.66% | -23.32% | -19.80% | -17.72% | -16.53% |
| 2025-12-08 | -20.53 | $81.38 | +3.10% | +3.74% | -2.93% | -5.60% | +3.05% | -34.12% |
| 2025-12-02 | -23.50 | $77.55 | +6.83% | +7.76% | +8.19% | -0.01% | -1.11% | -31.32% |
| 2025-11-01 | -17.28 | $95.37 | +6.29% | -8.39% | +7.37% | +2.36% | -13.31% | -30.53% |
| 2025-10-11 | -17.56 | $96.88 | -3.56% | +2.72% | -6.98% | -0.46% | +13.72% | -16.14% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-12-02: +8.19%
- 2025-11-01: +7.37%
- 2025-12-08: -2.93%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-01-30: -23.32%
- 2026-06-03: -8.27%
- 2026-02-01: -7.15%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 30 day(s) falls to or below -15%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.