Transparent historical data
What Happens to LEO Token After 5 Consecutive Red Days?
LEO Token has recorded 5 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -2.38% and 40.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 3-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -21.6% to -19.0% | 1 |
| -19.0% to -16.4% | 0 |
| -16.4% to -13.8% | 0 |
| -13.8% to -11.2% | 0 |
| -11.2% to -8.6% | 0 |
| -8.6% to -6.0% | 0 |
| -6.0% to -3.4% | 0 |
| -3.4% to -0.8% | 1 |
| -0.8% to +1.9% | 4 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
Historical occurrences
6 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | -0.33 | $9.15 | -0.15% | -1.69% | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-06-26 | -1.06 | $9.34 | -0.73% | +0.91% | -2.38% | +2.29% | +3.98% | — |
| 2026-06-20 | -0.91 | $9.52 | +0.81% | +0.59% | -2.63% | -3.75% | +2.92% | — |
| 2026-04-16 | -1.14 | $9.76 | +2.24% | +1.85% | +4.05% | +5.02% | +3.86% | -0.46% |
| 2026-03-09 | -0.13 | $8.97 | +2.07% | +1.56% | +0.90% | +3.53% | +17.60% | +5.41% |
| 2025-12-15 | -2.94 | $9.22 | +0.18% | -21.62% | -12.08% | -8.02% | -1.53% | -1.88% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-04-16: +4.05%
- 2026-03-09: +0.90%
- 2026-06-26: -2.38%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-12-15: -12.08%
- 2026-06-20: -2.63%
- 2026-06-26: -2.38%
How this study works
An occurrence is recorded once when the daily reference price has declined for 5 consecutive UTC days. Longer uninterrupted streaks do not create duplicate occurrences.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.