Transparent historical data
What Happens to Hyperliquid After Funding Rises to +0.01%?
Hyperliquid has recorded 30 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 7.15% and 66.7% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Binance USDⓈ-M Futures and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 7-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -15.4% to -7.2% | 5 |
| -7.2% to +1.0% | 5 |
| +1.0% to +9.2% | 9 |
| +9.2% to +17.4% | 4 |
| +17.4% to +25.7% | 2 |
| +25.7% to +33.9% | 2 |
| +33.9% to +42.1% | 2 |
| +42.1% to +50.3% | 0 |
| +50.3% to +58.5% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 31 | -0.26% | 1.12% | 48.4% | 18.95% | -5.43% |
| 3 days | 31 | -0.36% | 1.53% | 48.4% | 29.03% | -11.02% |
| 7 days | 30 | 7.15% | 8.83% | 66.7% | 58.54% | -15.42% |
| 14 days | 30 | 5.47% | 10.80% | 60.0% | 63.88% | -25.26% |
| 30 days | 28 | 11.77% | 15.99% | 78.6% | 71.96% | -27.24% |
| 90 days | 25 | 37.41% | 40.02% | 92.0% | 116.41% | -39.24% |
Historical occurrences
31 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | 0.01 | $78.56 | +1.12% | -1.53% | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-30 | 0.01 | $83.39 | -4.01% | -0.76% | +2.42% | -4.49% | — | — |
| 2026-08-19 | 0.01 | $58.52 | +18.95% | +29.03% | +36.10% | +41.43% | — | — |
| 2026-08-15 | 0.01 | $56.46 | +0.71% | +5.24% | +33.72% | +43.31% | +37.00% | — |
| 2026-07-21 | 0.01 | $62.42 | -2.54% | -7.87% | -10.22% | -13.55% | +11.51% | — |
| 2026-06-28 | 0.01 | $61.62 | -0.33% | +5.43% | +13.30% | +8.43% | -9.06% | — |
| 2026-06-13 | 0.01 | $59.29 | +2.36% | +12.82% | +18.54% | +8.46% | +13.52% | +32.50% |
| 2026-06-08 | 0.01 | $59.61 | +6.99% | -10.66% | +7.17% | +12.32% | +16.07% | +43.27% |
| 2026-05-28 | 0.01 | $57.82 | +6.49% | +18.03% | +28.85% | -7.89% | +11.21% | +37.73% |
| 2026-05-25 | 0.01 | $62.79 | -2.66% | -7.92% | +14.71% | -5.06% | -1.08% | +26.59% |
| 2026-05-20 | 0.01 | $48.07 | +13.93% | +13.76% | +23.76% | +45.08% | +42.02% | +23.62% |
| 2026-05-17 | 0.01 | $41.80 | +9.31% | +15.00% | +40.36% | +63.28% | +60.02% | +35.08% |
| 2026-05-12 | 0.01 | $42.00 | -4.20% | +5.14% | +13.59% | +45.53% | +26.80% | +28.22% |
| 2026-05-07 | 0.01 | $43.11 | -1.37% | -0.41% | -9.96% | +27.03% | +38.51% | +27.65% |
| 2026-05-01 | 0.01 | $39.69 | +3.64% | +4.57% | +7.13% | +11.26% | +71.96% | +35.74% |
| 2026-04-20 | 0.01 | $40.60 | +0.28% | +1.37% | +4.68% | +2.22% | +18.38% | +48.24% |
| 2026-04-17 | 0.01 | $43.87 | +1.72% | -7.44% | -5.85% | -9.53% | -4.72% | +52.34% |
| 2026-04-11 | 0.01 | $41.60 | +1.72% | +6.77% | +7.27% | -1.09% | +3.30% | +61.27% |
| 2026-03-31 | 0.01 | $36.83 | -0.92% | -4.32% | -1.45% | +20.58% | +8.47% | +66.76% |
| 2026-03-22 | 0.01 | $38.90 | -1.38% | +3.71% | +1.49% | -6.43% | +4.69% | +80.68% |
| 2026-03-14 | 0.01 | $36.47 | +3.76% | +11.78% | +8.55% | +5.87% | +12.04% | +61.50% |
| 2026-03-05 | 0.01 | $32.22 | -5.04% | -5.70% | +12.50% | +30.58% | +10.49% | +116.41% |
| 2026-02-17 | 0.01 | $31.28 | -5.43% | -7.04% | -15.42% | +5.07% | +34.51% | +46.07% |
| 2026-02-08 | 0.01 | $31.48 | +3.18% | -8.37% | +1.28% | -5.07% | +10.11% | +37.41% |
| 2026-01-30 | 0.01 | $30.74 | -0.53% | -0.36% | +7.38% | +1.34% | +1.74% | +29.96% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-01-22: +58.54%
- 2026-05-17: +40.36%
- 2026-08-19: +36.10%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-02-17: -15.42%
- 2025-10-30: -13.83%
- 2026-07-21: -10.22%
How this study works
Each Binance funding rate is normalized to an eight-hour equivalent. An episode begins when that rate is at or above 0.01%. Consecutive qualifying funding intervals are grouped, and returns begin from the exact UTC date of the first qualifying interval.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.