Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After a 3x Volume Spike

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after a 3x volume spike, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for Hyperliquid

8 historical signal(s) detected for Hyperliquid; 5 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (3 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades5
Win rate80.0%
Average return / trade+4.67%
Compounded total return+23.71%
Max drawdown-7.29%
Buy & hold, same period+176.60%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2026-01-28 2026-02-04 $30.7818 $32.5227 +5.66% 105.66
2026-05-21 2026-05-28 $54.7628 $57.8225 +5.59% 111.56
2026-05-30 2026-06-06 $64.4099 $59.7116 -7.29% 103.42
2026-08-20 2026-08-27 $69.6037 $82.2983 +18.24% 122.28
2026-09-01 2026-09-08 $84.1576 $85.1423 +1.17% 123.71

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for Hyperliquid ยท Read the full methodology