Transparent historical data
What Happens to Hyperliquid After a 15% 30-Day Correction?
This study currently has no completed 7-day observations in the locally stored Hyperliquid dataset.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 1-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -3.2% to -1.3% | 3 |
| -1.3% to +0.7% | 2 |
| +0.7% to +2.6% | 2 |
| +2.6% to +4.5% | 1 |
| +4.5% to +6.4% | 1 |
| +6.4% to +8.4% | 1 |
| +8.4% to +10.3% | 1 |
| +10.3% to +12.2% | 0 |
| +12.2% to +14.1% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
Historical occurrences
12 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | -15.51 | $56.46 | +0.71% | +5.24% | +33.72% | +43.31% | +37.00% | — |
| 2026-08-01 | -15.76 | $52.52 | -0.70% | +2.74% | +2.96% | +7.50% | +52.40% | — |
| 2026-07-30 | -19.34 | $53.88 | +3.65% | -3.19% | +5.65% | +4.01% | +50.19% | — |
| 2026-07-17 | -17.50 | $60.69 | -1.56% | +0.70% | -5.24% | -7.98% | -6.30% | — |
| 2026-07-02 | -15.16 | $62.35 | +7.24% | +11.97% | +8.41% | +7.18% | -15.76% | — |
| 2026-02-28 | -20.06 | $27.40 | +14.14% | +19.94% | +13.40% | +33.11% | +37.99% | +124.71% |
| 2026-01-13 | -19.61 | $23.83 | +8.44% | +4.07% | -0.23% | +4.89% | +23.58% | +71.50% |
| 2026-01-11 | -17.20 | $24.15 | +2.10% | +6.99% | +5.22% | -3.24% | +29.81% | +72.22% |
| 2025-12-06 | -25.02 | $30.98 | -0.12% | -4.88% | -7.67% | -19.72% | -13.81% | -1.25% |
| 2025-11-23 | -25.33 | $29.99 | +6.04% | +12.50% | +14.69% | +3.21% | -17.12% | +1.40% |
| 2025-11-04 | -18.39 | $40.11 | -2.43% | -3.90% | +3.56% | -2.70% | -13.50% | -23.64% |
| 2025-10-11 | -31.21 | $38.12 | -3.20% | +11.42% | -6.95% | +3.17% | +9.47% | -32.65% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-08-15: +33.72%
- 2025-11-23: +14.69%
- 2026-02-28: +13.40%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-12-06: -7.67%
- 2025-10-11: -6.95%
- 2026-07-17: -5.24%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 30 day(s) falls to or below -15%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.