Transparent historical data
What Happens to Ethereum After a 30% 30-Day Correction?
Ethereum has recorded 4 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 3.76% and 75.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 7-day outcomes
Not enough completed data yet for a distribution chart.
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
Historical occurrences
4 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | -30.85 | $1638.75 | -1.09% | +1.64% | +9.31% | +1.65% | +6.46% | +51.91% |
| 2026-06-06 | -32.69 | $1582.46 | -0.87% | +6.83% | +5.25% | +7.99% | +12.75% | +58.47% |
| 2026-02-27 | -32.86 | $2027.51 | -4.75% | -4.33% | +2.26% | +2.19% | -1.35% | -0.25% |
| 2026-02-05 | -33.59 | $2143.29 | -14.91% | -2.58% | -9.27% | -8.80% | -7.66% | +10.14% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-06-10: +9.31%
- 2026-06-06: +5.25%
- 2026-02-27: +2.26%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-02-05: -9.27%
- 2026-02-27: +2.26%
- 2026-06-06: +5.25%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 30 day(s) falls to or below -30%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.