Transparent historical data
What Happens to Dogecoin When Fear & Greed Falls Below 10?
Dogecoin has recorded 6 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 1.15% and 50.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Alternative.me Crypto Fear & Greed Index and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 30-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -14.9% to -12.6% | 2 |
| -12.6% to -10.3% | 0 |
| -10.3% to -8.0% | 0 |
| -8.0% to -5.6% | 0 |
| -5.6% to -3.3% | 0 |
| -3.3% to -1.0% | 0 |
| -1.0% to +1.3% | 1 |
| +1.3% to +3.6% | 1 |
| +3.6% to +5.9% | 2 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
Historical occurrences
6 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 | 8.00 | $0.09 | +0.10% | -3.81% | +3.07% | -4.70% | -13.95% | +4.03% |
| 2026-03-22 | 10.00 | $0.09 | -0.43% | +4.58% | -0.77% | +0.96% | +3.95% | -8.93% |
| 2026-03-09 | 8.00 | $0.09 | +1.22% | +3.27% | +9.55% | +1.35% | +5.90% | -9.04% |
| 2026-03-02 | 10.00 | $0.09 | +1.71% | +7.31% | -2.80% | +6.48% | -0.46% | +8.59% |
| 2026-02-06 | 9.00 | $0.09 | +10.88% | +9.86% | +5.84% | +11.74% | +2.91% | +26.84% |
| 2025-11-15 | 10.00 | $0.16 | +3.30% | -3.68% | -11.09% | -4.70% | -14.88% | -40.47% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-03-09: +9.55%
- 2026-02-06: +5.84%
- 2026-06-08: +3.07%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-11-15: -11.09%
- 2026-03-02: -2.80%
- 2026-03-22: -0.77%
How this study works
Daily Fear & Greed observations satisfying the inclusive threshold are grouped into episodes, then returns are measured from the target asset's same-date price.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.