Transparent historical data
What Happens to Dogecoin After 5 Consecutive Red Days?
Dogecoin has recorded 8 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -1.82% and 12.5% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 7-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -11.0% to -9.2% | 2 |
| -9.2% to -7.4% | 0 |
| -7.4% to -5.6% | 1 |
| -5.6% to -3.8% | 0 |
| -3.8% to -2.0% | 0 |
| -2.0% to -0.2% | 4 |
| -0.2% to +1.6% | 0 |
| +1.6% to +3.4% | 0 |
| +3.4% to +5.2% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 8 | 0.45% | 1.14% | 75.0% | 7.63% | -1.48% |
| 3 days | 8 | 0.10% | 1.49% | 50.0% | 8.82% | -5.35% |
| 7 days | 8 | -1.82% | -3.45% | 12.5% | 5.22% | -11.05% |
| 14 days | 8 | -8.54% | -8.49% | 12.5% | 0.96% | -18.41% |
| 30 days | 8 | -16.09% | -15.83% | 12.5% | 3.95% | -31.35% |
| 90 days | 7 | -26.20% | -19.84% | 14.3% | 4.53% | -33.16% |
Historical occurrences
8 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | -0.02 | $0.08 | +0.24% | -1.30% | -9.30% | -7.12% | -13.28% | — |
| 2026-05-29 | -0.86 | $0.10 | +0.15% | +0.82% | -11.05% | -13.56% | -25.20% | -11.86% |
| 2026-05-20 | -1.73 | $0.10 | +0.69% | -0.63% | -1.87% | -9.97% | -18.87% | -31.61% |
| 2026-03-22 | -2.69 | $0.09 | -0.43% | +4.58% | -0.77% | +0.96% | +3.95% | -8.93% |
| 2026-02-20 | -0.31 | $0.10 | +1.71% | -5.35% | -1.39% | -5.13% | -7.53% | +4.53% |
| 2026-01-19 | -6.81 | $0.13 | +0.66% | -1.08% | -6.68% | -18.41% | -21.03% | -26.20% |
| 2026-01-11 | -0.45 | $0.14 | -1.48% | +6.04% | -1.77% | -10.42% | -31.35% | -33.16% |
| 2025-12-02 | -7.33 | $0.14 | +7.63% | +8.82% | +5.22% | -4.28% | -13.32% | -31.67% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-12-02: +5.22%
- 2026-03-22: -0.77%
- 2026-02-20: -1.39%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-05-29: -11.05%
- 2026-06-20: -9.30%
- 2026-01-19: -6.68%
How this study works
An occurrence is recorded once when the daily reference price has declined for 5 consecutive UTC days. Longer uninterrupted streaks do not create duplicate occurrences.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.