Transparent historical data
What Happens to Dogecoin After a 20% Seven-Day Drop?
Dogecoin has recorded 3 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -3.27% and 33.3% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 3-day outcomes
Not enough completed data yet for a distribution chart.
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 3 | -4.08% | 0.82% | 33.3% | 10.88% | -4.33% |
| 3 days | 3 | 9.86% | 5.63% | 66.7% | 10.50% | -3.47% |
| 7 days | 3 | -3.27% | -0.68% | 33.3% | 5.84% | -4.61% |
| 14 days | 3 | 2.08% | 3.93% | 66.7% | 11.74% | -2.04% |
| 30 days | 3 | -7.62% | -8.14% | 33.3% | 2.91% | -19.71% |
| 90 days | 3 | -24.25% | -8.04% | 33.3% | 26.84% | -26.71% |
Historical occurrences
3 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-06 | -24.70 | $0.09 | +10.88% | +9.86% | +5.84% | +11.74% | +2.91% | +26.84% |
| 2025-10-16 | -23.17 | $0.20 | -4.08% | -3.47% | -3.27% | -2.04% | -19.71% | -24.25% |
| 2025-10-11 | -25.07 | $0.19 | -4.33% | +10.50% | -4.61% | +2.08% | -7.62% | -26.71% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-02-06: +5.84%
- 2025-10-16: -3.27%
- 2025-10-11: -4.61%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-10-11: -4.61%
- 2025-10-16: -3.27%
- 2026-02-06: +5.84%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 7 day(s) falls to or below -20%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.