Transparent historical data
What Happens to Chainlink After a 2x Volume Spike?
This study currently has no completed 7-day observations in the locally stored Chainlink dataset.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 7-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -13.0% to -9.0% | 1 |
| -9.0% to -5.0% | 2 |
| -5.0% to -1.0% | 1 |
| -1.0% to +3.0% | 1 |
| +3.0% to +7.1% | 0 |
| +7.1% to +11.1% | 2 |
| +11.1% to +15.1% | 2 |
| +15.1% to +19.1% | 0 |
| +19.1% to +23.1% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
Historical occurrences
10 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | 10.11 | $12.51 | -5.64% | -7.70% | -13.02% | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-28 | 2.14 | $11.92 | -4.12% | -6.55% | -0.76% | -3.83% | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 | 3.65 | $10.55 | +1.34% | +10.44% | +10.17% | +5.33% | — | — |
| 2026-08-16 | 2.77 | $9.46 | -0.83% | +0.71% | +23.11% | +21.07% | +21.70% | — |
| 2026-08-12 | 2.19 | $8.77 | -1.22% | +2.22% | +8.65% | +28.73% | +30.75% | — |
| 2026-05-05 | 2.13 | $9.35 | +4.41% | +5.34% | +13.13% | +2.64% | -10.96% | -10.47% |
| 2026-03-17 | 2.15 | $10.26 | +1.31% | -4.81% | -6.54% | -16.02% | -9.71% | -20.37% |
| 2026-02-06 | 2.28 | $8.21 | +11.22% | +19.05% | +14.16% | +19.10% | +23.70% | +21.72% |
| 2026-02-01 | 2.14 | $10.30 | -3.73% | -3.80% | -8.83% | -3.30% | -6.40% | -11.72% |
| 2025-10-11 | 4.00 | $17.35 | -0.79% | +14.57% | -4.21% | +3.11% | -8.23% | -23.82% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-08-16: +23.11%
- 2026-02-06: +14.16%
- 2026-05-05: +13.13%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-09-09: -13.02%
- 2026-02-01: -8.83%
- 2026-03-17: -6.54%
How this study works
Daily volume is compared with the median of the preceding 30 complete observations.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.