Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After Negative Funding

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after negative funding, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for BNB

9 historical signal(s) detected for BNB; 6 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (3 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades6
Win rate16.7%
Average return / trade-4.53%
Compounded total return-24.99%
Max drawdown-24.99%
Buy & hold, same period-48.63%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2025-10-12 2025-10-19 $1136.9128 $1092.6952 -3.89% 96.11
2025-10-28 2025-11-04 $1138.2326 $992.6566 -12.79% 83.82
2025-11-10 2025-11-17 $996.1572 $926.0490 -7.04% 77.92
2026-02-19 2026-02-26 $604.1151 $629.0621 +4.13% 81.14
2026-03-19 2026-03-26 $651.6095 $647.8098 -0.58% 80.66
2026-03-27 2026-04-03 $628.0751 $584.0792 -7.00% 75.01

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for BNB ยท Read the full methodology