Transparent historical data
What Happens to BNB After 5 Consecutive Red Days?
This study currently has no completed 7-day observations in the locally stored BNB dataset.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 90-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -33.0% to -27.8% | 1 |
| -27.8% to -22.5% | 0 |
| -22.5% to -17.3% | 0 |
| -17.3% to -12.1% | 1 |
| -12.1% to -6.9% | 0 |
| -6.9% to -1.7% | 1 |
| -1.7% to +3.5% | 0 |
| +3.5% to +8.8% | 0 |
| +8.8% to +14.0% | 2 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
Historical occurrences
5 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | -2.57 | $603.83 | -5.28% | +0.01% | +0.20% | -4.26% | -4.81% | +13.98% |
| 2026-05-20 | -0.57 | $639.41 | +1.47% | +1.65% | +2.56% | +1.69% | -9.59% | -5.34% |
| 2026-02-12 | -1.76 | $608.43 | +0.91% | +3.95% | -0.71% | +3.39% | +7.69% | +9.27% |
| 2025-11-15 | -0.93 | $915.92 | +1.79% | -1.08% | -9.37% | -3.10% | -4.18% | -32.97% |
| 2025-10-18 | -6.41 | $1071.99 | +1.93% | +2.71% | +3.41% | +1.45% | -13.61% | -13.20% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-10-18: +3.41%
- 2026-05-20: +2.56%
- 2026-06-05: +0.20%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-11-15: -9.37%
- 2026-02-12: -0.71%
- 2026-06-05: +0.20%
How this study works
An occurrence is recorded once when the daily reference price has declined for 5 consecutive UTC days. Longer uninterrupted streaks do not create duplicate occurrences.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.