Transparent historical data
What Happens to BNB After a 3x Volume Spike?
This study currently has no completed 7-day observations in the locally stored BNB dataset.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 3-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -10.7% to -7.6% | 3 |
| -7.6% to -4.5% | 1 |
| -4.5% to -1.4% | 1 |
| -1.4% to +1.7% | 2 |
| +1.7% to +4.8% | 1 |
| +4.8% to +7.9% | 0 |
| +7.9% to +11.0% | 0 |
| +11.0% to +14.1% | 0 |
| +14.1% to +17.2% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
Historical occurrences
9 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | 3.13 | $766.41 | -1.79% | -1.86% | -5.09% | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-22 | 3.88 | $686.79 | +1.25% | +2.52% | +0.66% | +5.04% | — | — |
| 2026-05-31 | 4.06 | $719.28 | -1.33% | -9.60% | -20.16% | -15.29% | -22.34% | -3.89% |
| 2026-01-31 | 9.93 | $857.10 | -9.03% | -9.84% | -23.63% | -27.79% | -27.82% | -28.23% |
| 2026-01-21 | 6.88 | $881.89 | +0.10% | +0.95% | +1.75% | -14.67% | -31.16% | -28.63% |
| 2026-01-18 | 4.23 | $946.26 | -2.07% | -6.80% | -6.44% | -17.60% | -33.75% | -31.99% |
| 2025-12-20 | 3.50 | $855.80 | -0.22% | +0.26% | -2.52% | +2.99% | +8.28% | -25.31% |
| 2025-10-13 | 3.35 | $1303.27 | -0.67% | -10.67% | -14.82% | -12.67% | -26.51% | -30.44% |
| 2025-10-11 | 3.57 | $1104.50 | +2.94% | +17.20% | -2.94% | +0.36% | -9.81% | -19.22% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-01-21: +1.75%
- 2026-08-22: +0.66%
- 2025-12-20: -2.52%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-01-31: -23.63%
- 2026-05-31: -20.16%
- 2025-10-13: -14.82%
How this study works
Daily volume is compared with the median of the preceding 30 complete observations.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.