Transparent historical data
What Happens to BNB After 3 Consecutive Red Days?
BNB has recorded 24 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 0.17% and 50.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 90-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -35.0% to -28.0% | 2 |
| -28.0% to -21.0% | 3 |
| -21.0% to -13.9% | 2 |
| -13.9% to -6.9% | 3 |
| -6.9% to +0.2% | 2 |
| +0.2% to +7.2% | 3 |
| +7.2% to +14.2% | 1 |
| +14.2% to +21.3% | 0 |
| +21.3% to +28.3% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 24 | 0.41% | 0.18% | 62.5% | 7.85% | -4.68% |
| 3 days | 24 | 0.70% | 0.42% | 62.5% | 11.32% | -12.04% |
| 7 days | 24 | 0.17% | -0.35% | 50.0% | 16.56% | -17.04% |
| 14 days | 24 | -0.63% | -1.54% | 41.7% | 13.61% | -18.88% |
| 30 days | 24 | 0.08% | -1.86% | 50.0% | 24.41% | -31.16% |
| 90 days | 17 | -7.52% | -8.99% | 29.4% | 28.31% | -35.04% |
Historical occurrences
24 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | -0.78 | $602.46 | +0.47% | +4.08% | +16.56% | +13.61% | +18.14% | — |
| 2026-07-25 | -0.45 | $564.42 | +0.72% | +0.23% | +3.90% | +4.92% | +24.41% | — |
| 2026-07-18 | -0.76 | $567.76 | +0.45% | +0.50% | -0.59% | +3.29% | +6.11% | — |
| 2026-07-14 | -1.20 | $566.81 | +2.57% | +0.94% | +0.67% | -0.19% | +7.58% | — |
| 2026-07-09 | -1.46 | $568.19 | +0.03% | +1.12% | +2.09% | +0.45% | +4.22% | — |
| 2026-06-26 | -0.70 | $560.01 | +1.24% | -1.71% | -0.34% | +1.49% | +1.51% | — |
| 2026-06-19 | -3.81 | $578.09 | +0.42% | +0.98% | -3.13% | -3.46% | -1.35% | — |
| 2026-06-11 | -1.16 | $586.19 | +3.21% | +3.94% | +2.53% | -3.79% | -1.89% | +28.31% |
| 2026-06-03 | -6.04 | $650.24 | -4.68% | -12.04% | -8.79% | -7.05% | -14.17% | +6.29% |
| 2026-05-29 | -1.62 | $637.59 | +0.77% | +11.32% | -5.29% | -5.11% | -12.70% | +10.96% |
| 2026-05-18 | -1.06 | $649.07 | -0.93% | -0.04% | +1.12% | +9.35% | -6.88% | -6.45% |
| 2026-04-30 | -1.16 | $617.16 | -0.33% | +0.14% | +4.98% | +8.79% | +4.10% | -7.52% |
| 2026-03-29 | -0.32 | $610.69 | -0.82% | +0.89% | -2.72% | -0.58% | +2.66% | -7.16% |
| 2026-03-20 | -1.91 | $639.15 | +0.47% | -1.97% | -1.73% | -8.62% | -1.43% | -5.97% |
| 2026-03-08 | -0.95 | $620.91 | -1.44% | +3.38% | +5.87% | +0.60% | -3.25% | -7.88% |
| 2026-02-10 | -0.49 | $636.96 | -2.76% | -3.61% | -1.58% | -6.33% | +2.27% | +4.16% |
| 2026-02-06 | -12.81 | $606.90 | +7.85% | +5.47% | +1.16% | +0.04% | +2.31% | +6.76% |
| 2026-02-01 | -9.03 | $779.69 | -2.78% | -3.48% | -17.04% | -18.88% | -18.25% | -21.07% |
| 2026-01-21 | -4.44 | $881.89 | +0.10% | +0.95% | +1.75% | -14.67% | -31.16% | -28.63% |
| 2025-12-13 | -0.48 | $881.72 | +1.73% | -2.64% | -2.94% | -5.39% | +2.41% | -26.20% |
| 2025-11-22 | -4.13 | $830.05 | +0.39% | +4.15% | +6.92% | +6.45% | +3.42% | -26.86% |
| 2025-11-13 | -0.45 | $953.38 | -3.02% | -2.21% | -5.99% | -6.42% | -7.52% | -35.04% |
| 2025-11-05 | -5.60 | $937.06 | +2.25% | +5.80% | +2.20% | -0.68% | -3.90% | -17.53% |
| 2025-10-16 | -3.81 | $1164.17 | -1.61% | -6.14% | -7.91% | -4.86% | -21.32% | -18.97% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-08-17: +16.56%
- 2025-11-22: +6.92%
- 2026-03-08: +5.87%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-02-01: -17.04%
- 2026-06-03: -8.79%
- 2025-10-16: -7.91%
How this study works
An occurrence is recorded once when the daily reference price has declined for 3 consecutive UTC days. Longer uninterrupted streaks do not create duplicate occurrences.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.