Transparent historical data
What Happens to BNB After a 2x Volume Spike?
This study currently has no completed 7-day observations in the locally stored BNB dataset.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 7-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -23.6% to -19.6% | 2 |
| -19.6% to -15.5% | 0 |
| -15.5% to -11.5% | 0 |
| -11.5% to -7.4% | 1 |
| -7.4% to -3.4% | 2 |
| -3.4% to +0.7% | 2 |
| +0.7% to +4.7% | 3 |
| +4.7% to +8.8% | 0 |
| +8.8% to +12.8% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
Historical occurrences
11 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | 3.13 | $766.41 | -1.79% | -1.86% | -5.09% | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 | 2.27 | $627.05 | +4.39% | +10.89% | +12.83% | +9.76% | — | — |
| 2026-06-05 | 2.28 | $603.83 | -5.28% | +0.01% | +0.20% | -4.26% | -4.81% | +13.98% |
| 2026-05-31 | 4.06 | $719.28 | -1.33% | -9.60% | -20.16% | -15.29% | -22.34% | -3.89% |
| 2026-04-03 | 2.31 | $584.08 | +0.75% | +3.85% | +3.29% | +8.94% | +5.81% | -5.84% |
| 2026-02-27 | 2.05 | $625.59 | -1.97% | -1.10% | +3.59% | +4.01% | -2.38% | +3.60% |
| 2026-01-31 | 9.93 | $857.10 | -9.03% | -9.84% | -23.63% | -27.79% | -27.82% | -28.23% |
| 2026-01-21 | 6.88 | $881.89 | +0.10% | +0.95% | +1.75% | -14.67% | -31.16% | -28.63% |
| 2026-01-18 | 4.23 | $946.26 | -2.07% | -6.80% | -6.44% | -17.60% | -33.75% | -31.99% |
| 2025-12-20 | 3.50 | $855.80 | -0.22% | +0.26% | -2.52% | +2.99% | +8.28% | -25.31% |
| 2025-10-10 | 2.95 | $1255.61 | -12.03% | +3.80% | -8.78% | -10.20% | -21.24% | -28.44% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-08-20: +12.83%
- 2026-02-27: +3.59%
- 2026-04-03: +3.29%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-01-31: -23.63%
- 2026-05-31: -20.16%
- 2025-10-10: -8.78%
How this study works
Daily volume is compared with the median of the preceding 30 complete observations.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.